Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and supporting numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Cape Town on June 14, driven by a coastal low and moderate northwesterly flow under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with typical mid-winter conditions in the region, where June daily highs average near 17°C but are tempered by marine influence and light showers suppressing further warming. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects convergence across ensemble guidance and historical verification of similar synoptic setups. A shift could occur only if a late forecast revision shows stronger ridging or if official maximum observations from primary stations fall outside the 16°C threshold due to localized microclimate effects.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 14?
16°C 99.5%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$25,675 Обс.
$25,675 Обс.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
16°C 99.5%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$25,675 Обс.
$25,675 Обс.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and supporting numerical models indicate a maximum temperature of 16°C in Cape Town on June 14, driven by a coastal low and moderate northwesterly flow under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with typical mid-winter conditions in the region, where June daily highs average near 17°C but are tempered by marine influence and light showers suppressing further warming. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects convergence across ensemble guidance and historical verification of similar synoptic setups. A shift could occur only if a late forecast revision shows stronger ridging or if official maximum observations from primary stations fall outside the 16°C threshold due to localized microclimate effects.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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