Strong forecast consensus from major meteorological models supports the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied probability for a 32°C high in Beijing on June 11. Official outlooks, including those aligned with historical June averages of 30–32°C, point to sunny conditions, light northwesterly winds, and typical early-summer atmospheric stability that favor this exact peak without significant deviation. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily toward that threshold under clear skies, consistent with climatological baselines for the region. While measurement at official stations could theoretically shift by 1°C due to localized microclimate effects or minor forecast revisions, the narrow spread of alternatives (under 2% combined) reflects limited uncertainty in the latest model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on June 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 11?
32°C 98.4%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$92,410 Обс.
$92,410 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
98%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 98.4%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$92,410 Обс.
$92,410 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
27°C or below
$8,480 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$6,849 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$8,130 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$11,030 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$16,345 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$8,864 Обс.
98%
33°C
$12,906 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$13,351 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$8,742 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$6,025 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$618 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from major meteorological models supports the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied probability for a 32°C high in Beijing on June 11. Official outlooks, including those aligned with historical June averages of 30–32°C, point to sunny conditions, light northwesterly winds, and typical early-summer atmospheric stability that favor this exact peak without significant deviation. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily toward that threshold under clear skies, consistent with climatological baselines for the region. While measurement at official stations could theoretically shift by 1°C due to localized microclimate effects or minor forecast revisions, the narrow spread of alternatives (under 2% combined) reflects limited uncertainty in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Обсяг
$92,410Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from major meteorological models supports the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied probability for a 32°C high in Beijing on June 11. Official outlooks, including those aligned with historical June averages of 30–32°C, point to sunny conditions, light northwesterly winds, and typical early-summer atmospheric stability that favor this exact peak without significant deviation. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily toward that threshold under clear skies, consistent with climatological baselines for the region. While measurement at official stations could theoretically shift by 1°C due to localized microclimate effects or minor forecast revisions, the narrow spread of alternatives (under 2% combined) reflects limited uncertainty in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$92,410Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong forecast consensus from major meteorological models supports the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied probability for a 32°C high in Beijing on June 11. Official outlooks, including those aligned with historical June averages of 30–32°C, point to sunny conditions, light northwesterly winds, and typical early-summer atmospheric stability that favor this exact peak without significant deviation. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily toward that threshold under clear skies, consistent with climatological baselines for the region. While measurement at official stations could theoretically shift by 1°C due to localized microclimate effects or minor forecast revisions, the narrow spread of alternatives (under 2% combined) reflects limited uncertainty in the latest model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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