Current short-range ensemble forecasts from major models place London's overnight minimum on June 13 around 13–15 °C, with light winds and limited cloud cover favoring modest radiative cooling. This range aligns with early-June climatology (typical lows near 11–12 °C) after a warmer spell earlier in the month and reflects mixed high-pressure influence over the UK rather than strong cold advection. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 14 °C and 13 °C because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any thin cloud, or local urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Model consensus remains stable within the past 48 hours, with limited spread expected until the final 12–24 h before the daily minimum occurs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on June 13?
Lowest temperature in London on June 13?
14°C 32%
13°C 24%
15°C 21%
16°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 13, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
17%
11°C
18%
12°C
5%
13°C
24%
14°C
32%
15°C
21%
16°C
19%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 32%
13°C 24%
15°C 21%
16°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 13, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Обс.
1%
10°C
$5 Обс.
17%
11°C
$0 Обс.
18%
12°C
$22 Обс.
5%
13°C
$0 Обс.
24%
14°C
$0 Обс.
32%
15°C
$17 Обс.
21%
16°C
$0 Обс.
19%
17°C
$54 Обс.
3%
18°C
$0 Обс.
1%
19°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from major models place London's overnight minimum on June 13 around 13–15 °C, with light winds and limited cloud cover favoring modest radiative cooling. This range aligns with early-June climatology (typical lows near 11–12 °C) after a warmer spell earlier in the month and reflects mixed high-pressure influence over the UK rather than strong cold advection. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 14 °C and 13 °C because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any thin cloud, or local urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Model consensus remains stable within the past 48 hours, with limited spread expected until the final 12–24 h before the daily minimum occurs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$102Дата завершення
Jun 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from major models place London's overnight minimum on June 13 around 13–15 °C, with light winds and limited cloud cover favoring modest radiative cooling. This range aligns with early-June climatology (typical lows near 11–12 °C) after a warmer spell earlier in the month and reflects mixed high-pressure influence over the UK rather than strong cold advection. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 14 °C and 13 °C because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any thin cloud, or local urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Model consensus remains stable within the past 48 hours, with limited spread expected until the final 12–24 h before the daily minimum occurs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$102Дата завершення
Jun 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts from major models place London's overnight minimum on June 13 around 13–15 °C, with light winds and limited cloud cover favoring modest radiative cooling. This range aligns with early-June climatology (typical lows near 11–12 °C) after a warmer spell earlier in the month and reflects mixed high-pressure influence over the UK rather than strong cold advection. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 14 °C and 13 °C because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any thin cloud, or local urban heat-island effects can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Model consensus remains stable within the past 48 hours, with limited spread expected until the final 12–24 h before the daily minimum occurs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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