Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Shanghai on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu period, which suppresses solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Historical mid-June climatology shows average highs of 27–28°C, but recent model runs incorporating observed moisture advection and weak steering flow point to slightly cooler conditions, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25–27°C outcomes. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
26°C 38%
25°C 26%
27°C 15%
24°C 8%
НОВЕ
$10,216 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,216 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
26%
26°C
38%
27°C
15%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 38%
25°C 26%
27°C 15%
24°C 8%
НОВЕ
$10,216 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,216 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
21°C or below
$406 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$554 Обс.
1%
23°C
$1,003 Обс.
3%
24°C
$1,557 Обс.
8%
25°C
$303 Обс.
26%
26°C
$756 Обс.
38%
27°C
$1,021 Обс.
15%
28°C
$1,806 Обс.
3%
29°C
$1,633 Обс.
1%
30°C
$596 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$635 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Shanghai on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu period, which suppresses solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Historical mid-June climatology shows average highs of 27–28°C, but recent model runs incorporating observed moisture advection and weak steering flow point to slightly cooler conditions, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25–27°C outcomes. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,216Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Shanghai on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu period, which suppresses solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Historical mid-June climatology shows average highs of 27–28°C, but recent model runs incorporating observed moisture advection and weak steering flow point to slightly cooler conditions, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25–27°C outcomes. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,216Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Shanghai on June 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the East Asian monsoon’s Meiyu period, which suppresses solar heating and caps afternoon temperatures. Historical mid-June climatology shows average highs of 27–28°C, but recent model runs incorporating observed moisture advection and weak steering flow point to slightly cooler conditions, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 25–27°C outcomes. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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