Current short-term model guidance from NOAA and local meteorologists points to a highest temperature near 70°F at San Francisco International Airport on June 15, consistent with the market's leading 70-71°F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cooler Pacific waters, are expected to limit daytime heating despite a building ridge that favors partly sunny skies and reduced June Gloom fog. Subtle differences among the tightly clustered 68-73°F outcomes hinge on the exact timing of any afternoon wind shift or marine layer thinning, which can add or subtract 2-4°F. Historical June averages hover near 66-68°F, so this setup reflects modestly above-normal conditions without crossing into heat-wave thresholds. Updated NWS forecast discussions tomorrow morning will likely refine the final resolution range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 15?
70-71°F 30%
68-69°F 22%
72-73°F 13%
74-75°F 13%
65°F or below
4%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 30%
68-69°F 22%
72-73°F 13%
74-75°F 13%
65°F or below
4%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term model guidance from NOAA and local meteorologists points to a highest temperature near 70°F at San Francisco International Airport on June 15, consistent with the market's leading 70-71°F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cooler Pacific waters, are expected to limit daytime heating despite a building ridge that favors partly sunny skies and reduced June Gloom fog. Subtle differences among the tightly clustered 68-73°F outcomes hinge on the exact timing of any afternoon wind shift or marine layer thinning, which can add or subtract 2-4°F. Historical June averages hover near 66-68°F, so this setup reflects modestly above-normal conditions without crossing into heat-wave thresholds. Updated NWS forecast discussions tomorrow morning will likely refine the final resolution range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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