Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate an overnight low of 77–79°F on June 15, consistent with the market’s leading 78–79°F outcome at 49% implied probability. Mid-June climatology places average lows near 77°F, with only modest day-to-day variability driven by the region’s high humidity, sea-breeze circulation, and limited frontal influence during the early wet season. Current model guidance shows typical subtropical ridging and scattered afternoon convection, producing no significant cooling or anomalous warming. Traders appear to be weighting these consensus forecasts and historical baselines heavily, with secondary outcomes (76–77°F at 26.5%) reflecting minor downside uncertainty from possible increased cloud cover or localized rainfall.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 15?
78-79°F 50%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 23%
74-75°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
46%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 50%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 23%
74-75°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
67°F or below
$421 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$212 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$22 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$219 Обс.
2%
74-75°F
$16 Обс.
5%
76-77°F
$8 Обс.
24%
78-79°F
$46 Обс.
46%
80-81°F
$68 Обс.
23%
82-83°F
$17 Обс.
4%
84-85°F
$135 Обс.
<1%
86°F or higher
$740 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate an overnight low of 77–79°F on June 15, consistent with the market’s leading 78–79°F outcome at 49% implied probability. Mid-June climatology places average lows near 77°F, with only modest day-to-day variability driven by the region’s high humidity, sea-breeze circulation, and limited frontal influence during the early wet season. Current model guidance shows typical subtropical ridging and scattered afternoon convection, producing no significant cooling or anomalous warming. Traders appear to be weighting these consensus forecasts and historical baselines heavily, with secondary outcomes (76–77°F at 26.5%) reflecting minor downside uncertainty from possible increased cloud cover or localized rainfall.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,904Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate an overnight low of 77–79°F on June 15, consistent with the market’s leading 78–79°F outcome at 49% implied probability. Mid-June climatology places average lows near 77°F, with only modest day-to-day variability driven by the region’s high humidity, sea-breeze circulation, and limited frontal influence during the early wet season. Current model guidance shows typical subtropical ridging and scattered afternoon convection, producing no significant cooling or anomalous warming. Traders appear to be weighting these consensus forecasts and historical baselines heavily, with secondary outcomes (76–77°F at 26.5%) reflecting minor downside uncertainty from possible increased cloud cover or localized rainfall.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,904Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate an overnight low of 77–79°F on June 15, consistent with the market’s leading 78–79°F outcome at 49% implied probability. Mid-June climatology places average lows near 77°F, with only modest day-to-day variability driven by the region’s high humidity, sea-breeze circulation, and limited frontal influence during the early wet season. Current model guidance shows typical subtropical ridging and scattered afternoon convection, producing no significant cooling or anomalous warming. Traders appear to be weighting these consensus forecasts and historical baselines heavily, with secondary outcomes (76–77°F at 26.5%) reflecting minor downside uncertainty from possible increased cloud cover or localized rainfall.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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