Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local Dutch services indicate a mild mid-June pattern for Amsterdam, with a northwesterly flow and light rain or cloud cover limiting daytime warming. This keeps the expected maximum near 17°C on June 14, aligning with the market's dominant 67.5% implied probability for that outcome and lower odds for 16°C or 18°C. Climatological baselines show average June highs around 19°C, but recent model runs reflect suppressed temperatures from Atlantic influences and modest wind speeds, reducing the chance of brief peaks near 18–19°C. Updated hourly guidance through the afternoon will determine whether readings edge into the next bin before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?
17°C 68%
16°C 20.1%
18°C 13%
19°C 2.8%
$27,876 Обс.
$27,876 Обс.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
20%
17°C
68%
18°C
13%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 68%
16°C 20.1%
18°C 13%
19°C 2.8%
$27,876 Обс.
$27,876 Обс.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
20%
17°C
68%
18°C
13%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local Dutch services indicate a mild mid-June pattern for Amsterdam, with a northwesterly flow and light rain or cloud cover limiting daytime warming. This keeps the expected maximum near 17°C on June 14, aligning with the market's dominant 67.5% implied probability for that outcome and lower odds for 16°C or 18°C. Climatological baselines show average June highs around 19°C, but recent model runs reflect suppressed temperatures from Atlantic influences and modest wind speeds, reducing the chance of brief peaks near 18–19°C. Updated hourly guidance through the afternoon will determine whether readings edge into the next bin before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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