Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services, including model runs from ECMWF and KNMI guidance, position 17–18°C as the most likely daily maximum for Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. These conditions align with typical early-June climatology, where average highs reach about 19°C but often fall short amid variable Atlantic influences. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds heavily favors the 17–18°C outcomes at over 70% combined probability, driven by the latest deterministic and ensemble forecasts showing limited warming potential. Updated model guidance expected overnight and on the morning of the 15th will provide the final inputs ahead of official verification by local stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
18°C 43%
17°C 33%
19°C 12%
16°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
33%
18°C
43%
19°C
12%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 43%
17°C 33%
19°C 12%
16°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
14°C or below
$233 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$269 Обс.
2%
16°C
$698 Обс.
9%
17°C
$608 Обс.
33%
18°C
$324 Обс.
43%
19°C
$596 Обс.
12%
20°C
$344 Обс.
6%
21°C
$487 Обс.
1%
22°C
$417 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$594 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$50 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services, including model runs from ECMWF and KNMI guidance, position 17–18°C as the most likely daily maximum for Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. These conditions align with typical early-June climatology, where average highs reach about 19°C but often fall short amid variable Atlantic influences. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds heavily favors the 17–18°C outcomes at over 70% combined probability, driven by the latest deterministic and ensemble forecasts showing limited warming potential. Updated model guidance expected overnight and on the morning of the 15th will provide the final inputs ahead of official verification by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,610Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services, including model runs from ECMWF and KNMI guidance, position 17–18°C as the most likely daily maximum for Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. These conditions align with typical early-June climatology, where average highs reach about 19°C but often fall short amid variable Atlantic influences. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds heavily favors the 17–18°C outcomes at over 70% combined probability, driven by the latest deterministic and ensemble forecasts showing limited warming potential. Updated model guidance expected overnight and on the morning of the 15th will provide the final inputs ahead of official verification by local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,610Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from European meteorological services, including model runs from ECMWF and KNMI guidance, position 17–18°C as the most likely daily maximum for Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly winds. These conditions align with typical early-June climatology, where average highs reach about 19°C but often fall short amid variable Atlantic influences. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds heavily favors the 17–18°C outcomes at over 70% combined probability, driven by the latest deterministic and ensemble forecasts showing limited warming potential. Updated model guidance expected overnight and on the morning of the 15th will provide the final inputs ahead of official verification by local stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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