Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate Seattle-Tacoma International Airport highs of 89-91°F on June 15 amid a strong upper-level ridge and thermal trough promoting subsidence and clear skies, pushing temperatures 15-20°F above the mid-70s seasonal normal and threatening the 1963 record of 88°F. This consensus, reinforced by ECMWF and other runs showing persistent warm advection, underpins the combined 68.5% market-implied probability on the 88-91°F outcomes while the lower 11.5% on 86-87°F reflects residual uncertainty from potential marine layer influences or slight timing shifts in peak heating. Historical analogs of similar June heat events and ongoing Moderate HeatRisk advisories further anchor trader sentiment around these narrow bins ahead of final observational resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on June 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 15?
90-91°F 38%
88-89°F 32%
86-87°F 11%
92-93°F 8.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
83°F or below
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
38%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 38%
88-89°F 32%
86-87°F 11%
92-93°F 8.1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
83°F or below
$538 Обс.
2%
84-85°F
$278 Обс.
4%
86-87°F
$452 Обс.
11%
88-89°F
$221 Обс.
32%
90-91°F
$315 Обс.
38%
92-93°F
$544 Обс.
8%
94-95°F
$153 Обс.
1%
96-97°F
$419 Обс.
1%
98-99°F
$517 Обс.
<1%
100-101°F
$199 Обс.
<1%
102°F or higher
$196 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate Seattle-Tacoma International Airport highs of 89-91°F on June 15 amid a strong upper-level ridge and thermal trough promoting subsidence and clear skies, pushing temperatures 15-20°F above the mid-70s seasonal normal and threatening the 1963 record of 88°F. This consensus, reinforced by ECMWF and other runs showing persistent warm advection, underpins the combined 68.5% market-implied probability on the 88-91°F outcomes while the lower 11.5% on 86-87°F reflects residual uncertainty from potential marine layer influences or slight timing shifts in peak heating. Historical analogs of similar June heat events and ongoing Moderate HeatRisk advisories further anchor trader sentiment around these narrow bins ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,818Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate Seattle-Tacoma International Airport highs of 89-91°F on June 15 amid a strong upper-level ridge and thermal trough promoting subsidence and clear skies, pushing temperatures 15-20°F above the mid-70s seasonal normal and threatening the 1963 record of 88°F. This consensus, reinforced by ECMWF and other runs showing persistent warm advection, underpins the combined 68.5% market-implied probability on the 88-91°F outcomes while the lower 11.5% on 86-87°F reflects residual uncertainty from potential marine layer influences or slight timing shifts in peak heating. Historical analogs of similar June heat events and ongoing Moderate HeatRisk advisories further anchor trader sentiment around these narrow bins ahead of final observational resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,818Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate Seattle-Tacoma International Airport highs of 89-91°F on June 15 amid a strong upper-level ridge and thermal trough promoting subsidence and clear skies, pushing temperatures 15-20°F above the mid-70s seasonal normal and threatening the 1963 record of 88°F. This consensus, reinforced by ECMWF and other runs showing persistent warm advection, underpins the combined 68.5% market-implied probability on the 88-91°F outcomes while the lower 11.5% on 86-87°F reflects residual uncertainty from potential marine layer influences or slight timing shifts in peak heating. Historical analogs of similar June heat events and ongoing Moderate HeatRisk advisories further anchor trader sentiment around these narrow bins ahead of final observational resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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