National Weather Service forecasts position Seattle-Tacoma International Airport temperatures at 87-89°F on June 14 under a dry, warm airmass with a ridge overhead, driving the 88-89°F bin to 67.5% implied probability. Model consensus and recent runs align with this range amid a broader heat episode featuring upper-80s readings Sunday and potential low-90s Monday, exceeding the June 14 record of 86°F set in 1988. Lower probabilities for 90°F-plus reflect modest uncertainty in peak heating tied to cloud cover or wind shifts, while cooler bins remain sidelined by the established warm pattern and above-normal seasonal outlook from NOAA. Updated model guidance and official observations near resolution will refine these trader-assessed odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on June 14?
88-89°F 73%
86-87°F 20%
90-91°F 4.6%
84-85°F 2.9%
$20,221 Обс.
$20,221 Обс.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
73%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 73%
86-87°F 20%
90-91°F 4.6%
84-85°F 2.9%
$20,221 Обс.
$20,221 Обс.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
73%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts position Seattle-Tacoma International Airport temperatures at 87-89°F on June 14 under a dry, warm airmass with a ridge overhead, driving the 88-89°F bin to 67.5% implied probability. Model consensus and recent runs align with this range amid a broader heat episode featuring upper-80s readings Sunday and potential low-90s Monday, exceeding the June 14 record of 86°F set in 1988. Lower probabilities for 90°F-plus reflect modest uncertainty in peak heating tied to cloud cover or wind shifts, while cooler bins remain sidelined by the established warm pattern and above-normal seasonal outlook from NOAA. Updated model guidance and official observations near resolution will refine these trader-assessed odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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