Recent official guidance from regional models and Panama’s INAMEH points to typical early wet-season conditions, with the market favoring 30–31°C highs as the most probable outcomes given persistent humidity and scattered afternoon convection. Variable cloud cover, timing of seabreeze-driven showers, and modest steering flow from the Caribbean trades remain the dominant variables that could push readings a degree lower or allow brief clearing to reach 32–33°C. With no tropical systems nearby and stable large-scale patterns, the spread across lower and higher bins reflects genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s observations rather than any singular catalyst. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.