Recent India Meteorological Department updates highlight thundery development and isolated rain chances over Uttar Pradesh, moderating peak temperatures toward the market-favored 37–38°C range for Lucknow on June 15. Pre-monsoon convective activity and a western disturbance are increasing low-level moisture and cloud cover, which limits daytime solar heating and caps maximums compared with drier conditions that could push readings to 40°C or higher. Ensemble forecasts show modest model spread in precipitation timing and coverage, creating uncertainty around exact thresholds, while climatological baselines for mid-June in the Indo-Gangetic plains average near 39°C absent such disturbances. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric shifts against longer-range guidance for any last-minute adjustments ahead of official IMD station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 15?
38°C 34%
37°C 29%
39°C 15%
40°C 8.5%
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
8%
37°C
29%
38°C
34%
39°C
15%
40°C
9%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
38°C 34%
37°C 29%
39°C 15%
40°C 8.5%
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
8%
37°C
29%
38°C
34%
39°C
15%
40°C
9%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department updates highlight thundery development and isolated rain chances over Uttar Pradesh, moderating peak temperatures toward the market-favored 37–38°C range for Lucknow on June 15. Pre-monsoon convective activity and a western disturbance are increasing low-level moisture and cloud cover, which limits daytime solar heating and caps maximums compared with drier conditions that could push readings to 40°C or higher. Ensemble forecasts show modest model spread in precipitation timing and coverage, creating uncertainty around exact thresholds, while climatological baselines for mid-June in the Indo-Gangetic plains average near 39°C absent such disturbances. Traders appear to weigh these near-term atmospheric shifts against longer-range guidance for any last-minute adjustments ahead of official IMD station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання