Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on August 17, with some runs reaching 24°C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities near those levels. A post-heatwave cooling trend driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly flow, and possible showers is moderating daytime maxima below early-August peaks. Historical August averages hover near 23–24°C, so modest day-to-day variability in insolation and boundary-layer mixing explains the tight spread between 22°C and 24°C outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether residual warmth or increased precipitation tips the result.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 17?
23°C 33%
24°C 23%
22°C 22%
25°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
20°C or below
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
22%
23°C
33%
24°C
23%
25°C
10%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 33%
24°C 23%
22°C 22%
25°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
20°C or below
$1,153 Обс.
5%
21°C
$345 Обс.
6%
22°C
$1,411 Обс.
22%
23°C
$340 Обс.
33%
24°C
$178 Обс.
23%
25°C
$730 Обс.
10%
26°C
$41 Обс.
1%
27°C
$219 Обс.
1%
28°C
$677 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$62 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$206 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on August 17, with some runs reaching 24°C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities near those levels. A post-heatwave cooling trend driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly flow, and possible showers is moderating daytime maxima below early-August peaks. Historical August averages hover near 23–24°C, so modest day-to-day variability in insolation and boundary-layer mixing explains the tight spread between 22°C and 24°C outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether residual warmth or increased precipitation tips the result.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,362Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on August 17, with some runs reaching 24°C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities near those levels. A post-heatwave cooling trend driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly flow, and possible showers is moderating daytime maxima below early-August peaks. Historical August averages hover near 23–24°C, so modest day-to-day variability in insolation and boundary-layer mixing explains the tight spread between 22°C and 24°C outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether residual warmth or increased precipitation tips the result.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,362Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on August 17, with some runs reaching 24°C, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities near those levels. A post-heatwave cooling trend driven by increased cloud cover, light northerly flow, and possible showers is moderating daytime maxima below early-August peaks. Historical August averages hover near 23–24°C, so modest day-to-day variability in insolation and boundary-layer mixing explains the tight spread between 22°C and 24°C outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether residual warmth or increased precipitation tips the result.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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