**Marine layer stratus and onshore flow are suppressing afternoon heating along the Los Angeles coast, positioning the 70–73°F range as the dominant market outcome.** Persistent June gloom, reinforced by a stable marine inversion and typical early-to-mid June climatology, has kept recent daily highs near or below normal, with National Weather Service and UCLA Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences guidance projecting a peak near 74°F under morning low clouds that only partially clear. This aligns with historical patterns where coastal stratus limits insolation and keeps maxima in the low-to-mid 70s more often than the seasonal 75–81°F average. Trader consensus reflected in the 79.5% combined probability for 70–73°F incorporates the latest model runs showing limited warming potential before the marine layer erodes, while the low odds on 74°F+ outcomes highlight the current data’s emphasis on continued onshore cooling through the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 14?
70-71°F 48%
72-73°F 32%
74-75°F 6.2%
68-69°F 6.0%
$20,760 Обс.
$20,760 Обс.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 48%
72-73°F 32%
74-75°F 6.2%
68-69°F 6.0%
$20,760 Обс.
$20,760 Обс.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Marine layer stratus and onshore flow are suppressing afternoon heating along the Los Angeles coast, positioning the 70–73°F range as the dominant market outcome.** Persistent June gloom, reinforced by a stable marine inversion and typical early-to-mid June climatology, has kept recent daily highs near or below normal, with National Weather Service and UCLA Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences guidance projecting a peak near 74°F under morning low clouds that only partially clear. This aligns with historical patterns where coastal stratus limits insolation and keeps maxima in the low-to-mid 70s more often than the seasonal 75–81°F average. Trader consensus reflected in the 79.5% combined probability for 70–73°F incorporates the latest model runs showing limited warming potential before the marine layer erodes, while the low odds on 74°F+ outcomes highlight the current data’s emphasis on continued onshore cooling through the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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