Persistent southwest monsoon flow and an associated low-pressure trough are sustaining cloudy, humid conditions with scattered showers across Hong Kong on June 15, 2026, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and anchors minimum temperatures near 26°C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus. Official forecasts indicate a daily range of 26–29°C, aligning with June climatological averages of 26–27°C for overnight lows and the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures through August. These factors explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C (47.5%) and 25°C (26.5%), while probabilities drop sharply outside the mid-20s absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or clearing skies. Updated HKO briefings and short-range model revisions remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
26°C 40%
24°C 26.5%
25°C 27%
27°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
21%
25°C
27%
26°C
48%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
24°C 26.5%
25°C 27%
27°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
22°C or below
$16 Обс.
1%
23°C
$269 Обс.
1%
24°C
$266 Обс.
21%
25°C
$114 Обс.
27%
26°C
$170 Обс.
48%
27°C
$398 Обс.
7%
28°C
$902 Обс.
1%
29°C
$1,073 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$408 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$151 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$406 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and an associated low-pressure trough are sustaining cloudy, humid conditions with scattered showers across Hong Kong on June 15, 2026, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and anchors minimum temperatures near 26°C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus. Official forecasts indicate a daily range of 26–29°C, aligning with June climatological averages of 26–27°C for overnight lows and the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures through August. These factors explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C (47.5%) and 25°C (26.5%), while probabilities drop sharply outside the mid-20s absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or clearing skies. Updated HKO briefings and short-range model revisions remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,820Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and an associated low-pressure trough are sustaining cloudy, humid conditions with scattered showers across Hong Kong on June 15, 2026, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and anchors minimum temperatures near 26°C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus. Official forecasts indicate a daily range of 26–29°C, aligning with June climatological averages of 26–27°C for overnight lows and the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures through August. These factors explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C (47.5%) and 25°C (26.5%), while probabilities drop sharply outside the mid-20s absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or clearing skies. Updated HKO briefings and short-range model revisions remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$3,820Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow and an associated low-pressure trough are sustaining cloudy, humid conditions with scattered showers across Hong Kong on June 15, 2026, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and anchors minimum temperatures near 26°C according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus. Official forecasts indicate a daily range of 26–29°C, aligning with June climatological averages of 26–27°C for overnight lows and the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures through August. These factors explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C (47.5%) and 25°C (26.5%), while probabilities drop sharply outside the mid-20s absent a rapid shift in steering patterns or clearing skies. Updated HKO briefings and short-range model revisions remain the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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