**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C on June 15, 2026, under thundery showers and high humidity exceeding 80–90%.** Persistent southwest monsoon flow combined with an active trough favors convective cloud cover and scattered rain that limits solar heating and caps afternoon peaks, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 29°C (39.5%) followed by 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (19.5%). Seasonal guidance already flags above-normal June–August temperatures, yet short-term model consensus shows modest cooling from precipitation relative to the month’s 31°C climatological average. Updated runs and any shift in shower timing or intensity over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could nudge the realized maximum one degree higher or lower before the market resolves.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?
29°C 41%
28°C 25%
30°C 18%
27°C 8%
НОВЕ
$12,100 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,100 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
25%
29°C
41%
30°C
18%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 41%
28°C 25%
30°C 18%
27°C 8%
НОВЕ
$12,100 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,100 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
23°C or below
$934 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$155 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$1,109 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$586 Обс.
1%
27°C
$1,262 Обс.
8%
28°C
$1,347 Обс.
25%
29°C
$2,320 Обс.
41%
30°C
$2,043 Обс.
18%
31°C
$1,419 Обс.
4%
32°C
$657 Обс.
1%
33°C or higher
$608 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C on June 15, 2026, under thundery showers and high humidity exceeding 80–90%.** Persistent southwest monsoon flow combined with an active trough favors convective cloud cover and scattered rain that limits solar heating and caps afternoon peaks, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 29°C (39.5%) followed by 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (19.5%). Seasonal guidance already flags above-normal June–August temperatures, yet short-term model consensus shows modest cooling from precipitation relative to the month’s 31°C climatological average. Updated runs and any shift in shower timing or intensity over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could nudge the realized maximum one degree higher or lower before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,100Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C on June 15, 2026, under thundery showers and high humidity exceeding 80–90%.** Persistent southwest monsoon flow combined with an active trough favors convective cloud cover and scattered rain that limits solar heating and caps afternoon peaks, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 29°C (39.5%) followed by 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (19.5%). Seasonal guidance already flags above-normal June–August temperatures, yet short-term model consensus shows modest cooling from precipitation relative to the month’s 31°C climatological average. Updated runs and any shift in shower timing or intensity over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could nudge the realized maximum one degree higher or lower before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$12,100Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C on June 15, 2026, under thundery showers and high humidity exceeding 80–90%.** Persistent southwest monsoon flow combined with an active trough favors convective cloud cover and scattered rain that limits solar heating and caps afternoon peaks, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 29°C (39.5%) followed by 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (19.5%). Seasonal guidance already flags above-normal June–August temperatures, yet short-term model consensus shows modest cooling from precipitation relative to the month’s 31°C climatological average. Updated runs and any shift in shower timing or intensity over the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could nudge the realized maximum one degree higher or lower before the market resolves.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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