Traders overwhelmingly favor 13°C for Paris’s lowest temperature on June 14, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France that show consistent overnight minima near this value. Stable high pressure, clear skies, and light winds have limited temperature variability, aligning closely with mid-June climatology for the Paris basin where typical lows range from 11–15°C. High-resolution model consensus at this lead time supports the near-certain market odds, though localized factors such as unexpected cloud increases, wind shifts, or measurement variations at official stations could still nudge the recorded minimum outside the dominant bin before final verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 14?
13°C 99.6%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
10°C <1%
$10,472 Обс.
$10,472 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.6%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
10°C <1%
$10,472 Обс.
$10,472 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
9°C or below
$657 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$828 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$794 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$1,088 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$2,423 Обс.
100%
14°C
$784 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$846 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$1,232 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$747 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$156 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$916 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders overwhelmingly favor 13°C for Paris’s lowest temperature on June 14, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France that show consistent overnight minima near this value. Stable high pressure, clear skies, and light winds have limited temperature variability, aligning closely with mid-June climatology for the Paris basin where typical lows range from 11–15°C. High-resolution model consensus at this lead time supports the near-certain market odds, though localized factors such as unexpected cloud increases, wind shifts, or measurement variations at official stations could still nudge the recorded minimum outside the dominant bin before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,472Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders overwhelmingly favor 13°C for Paris’s lowest temperature on June 14, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France that show consistent overnight minima near this value. Stable high pressure, clear skies, and light winds have limited temperature variability, aligning closely with mid-June climatology for the Paris basin where typical lows range from 11–15°C. High-resolution model consensus at this lead time supports the near-certain market odds, though localized factors such as unexpected cloud increases, wind shifts, or measurement variations at official stations could still nudge the recorded minimum outside the dominant bin before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,472Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly favor 13°C for Paris’s lowest temperature on June 14, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Météo-France that show consistent overnight minima near this value. Stable high pressure, clear skies, and light winds have limited temperature variability, aligning closely with mid-June climatology for the Paris basin where typical lows range from 11–15°C. High-resolution model consensus at this lead time supports the near-certain market odds, though localized factors such as unexpected cloud increases, wind shifts, or measurement variations at official stations could still nudge the recorded minimum outside the dominant bin before final verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання