Market-implied odds center on 29°C as Beijing’s highest temperature for June 15, reflecting consensus across ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models projecting a daytime maximum near that value under typical early-summer synoptic flow. Modest probabilities for 28°C and 30°C capture remaining uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and potential weak frontal passages that could alter peak solar heating or trigger scattered convection. Climatological baselines place mid-June averages around 30–32°C, yet current guidance shows slightly suppressed heights amid evolving wind patterns, with updated model runs and observational data expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
29°C 35%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
31°C 12%
НОВЕ
$29,199 Обс.
НОВЕ
$29,199 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
20%
29°C
35%
30°C
24%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 35%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
31°C 12%
НОВЕ
$29,199 Обс.
НОВЕ
$29,199 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
25°C or below
$2,715 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,161 Обс.
1%
27°C
$1,306 Обс.
9%
28°C
$866 Обс.
20%
29°C
$924 Обс.
35%
30°C
$1,131 Обс.
24%
31°C
$4,217 Обс.
12%
32°C
$4,691 Обс.
2%
33°C
$4,357 Обс.
1%
34°C
$3,525 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$5,059 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds center on 29°C as Beijing’s highest temperature for June 15, reflecting consensus across ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models projecting a daytime maximum near that value under typical early-summer synoptic flow. Modest probabilities for 28°C and 30°C capture remaining uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and potential weak frontal passages that could alter peak solar heating or trigger scattered convection. Climatological baselines place mid-June averages around 30–32°C, yet current guidance shows slightly suppressed heights amid evolving wind patterns, with updated model runs and observational data expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Обсяг
$29,199Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds center on 29°C as Beijing’s highest temperature for June 15, reflecting consensus across ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models projecting a daytime maximum near that value under typical early-summer synoptic flow. Modest probabilities for 28°C and 30°C capture remaining uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and potential weak frontal passages that could alter peak solar heating or trigger scattered convection. Climatological baselines place mid-June averages around 30–32°C, yet current guidance shows slightly suppressed heights amid evolving wind patterns, with updated model runs and observational data expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$29,199Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds center on 29°C as Beijing’s highest temperature for June 15, reflecting consensus across ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models projecting a daytime maximum near that value under typical early-summer synoptic flow. Modest probabilities for 28°C and 30°C capture remaining uncertainty from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and potential weak frontal passages that could alter peak solar heating or trigger scattered convection. Climatological baselines place mid-June averages around 30–32°C, yet current guidance shows slightly suppressed heights amid evolving wind patterns, with updated model runs and observational data expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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