Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate overnight lows in Seoul around 17–19°C for June 14, driven by moderate humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29°C. These conditions align with early-summer climatology, where average June minima hover near 17°C amid rising seasonal temperatures and the approach of the monsoon. Trader consensus favoring 20–21°C as leading outcomes reflects ongoing model uncertainty, urban heat island effects that often elevate observed minima, and recent observational data showing warmer-than-expected nights earlier in the month. Upcoming hourly updates from official monitoring will likely refine these probabilities as the overnight period progresses.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on June 14?
20°C 35%
19°C 13%
18°C 2.2%
16°C 1.0%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
21%
20°C
35%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 35%
19°C 13%
18°C 2.2%
16°C 1.0%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
21%
20°C
35%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate overnight lows in Seoul around 17–19°C for June 14, driven by moderate humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29°C. These conditions align with early-summer climatology, where average June minima hover near 17°C amid rising seasonal temperatures and the approach of the monsoon. Trader consensus favoring 20–21°C as leading outcomes reflects ongoing model uncertainty, urban heat island effects that often elevate observed minima, and recent observational data showing warmer-than-expected nights earlier in the month. Upcoming hourly updates from official monitoring will likely refine these probabilities as the overnight period progresses.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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