Recent forecasts from Météo-France highlight a building heatwave over Île-de-France, with high pressure promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and warm-air advection that should push Paris daytime maxima to 35–36 °C on June 18. Light winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to limit convective cooling and allow peak temperatures during the afternoon hours, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities clustered at 35 °C and 36 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the thermal peak, while the urban heat-island effect adds a consistent local boost. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether readings settle at the lower or upper end of this narrow range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 18?
36°C 38%
35°C 32%
34°C 13%
37°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
13%
35°C
32%
36°C
38%
37°C
9%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 38%
35°C 32%
34°C 13%
37°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
32°C or below
$698 Обс.
1%
33°C
$291 Обс.
4%
34°C
$317 Обс.
13%
35°C
$629 Обс.
32%
36°C
$417 Обс.
38%
37°C
$279 Обс.
9%
38°C
$706 Обс.
3%
39°C
$237 Обс.
1%
40°C
$426 Обс.
<1%
41°C
$148 Обс.
<1%
42°C or higher
$251 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France highlight a building heatwave over Île-de-France, with high pressure promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and warm-air advection that should push Paris daytime maxima to 35–36 °C on June 18. Light winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to limit convective cooling and allow peak temperatures during the afternoon hours, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities clustered at 35 °C and 36 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the thermal peak, while the urban heat-island effect adds a consistent local boost. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether readings settle at the lower or upper end of this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,375Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France highlight a building heatwave over Île-de-France, with high pressure promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and warm-air advection that should push Paris daytime maxima to 35–36 °C on June 18. Light winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to limit convective cooling and allow peak temperatures during the afternoon hours, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities clustered at 35 °C and 36 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the thermal peak, while the urban heat-island effect adds a consistent local boost. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether readings settle at the lower or upper end of this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,375Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France highlight a building heatwave over Île-de-France, with high pressure promoting clear skies, strong solar heating, and warm-air advection that should push Paris daytime maxima to 35–36 °C on June 18. Light winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to limit convective cooling and allow peak temperatures during the afternoon hours, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities clustered at 35 °C and 36 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the thermal peak, while the urban heat-island effect adds a consistent local boost. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether readings settle at the lower or upper end of this narrow range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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