Recent forecasts from multiple models highlight a cool air mass and increased cloud cover over Moscow, suppressing daytime heating and pointing to a maximum temperature near 13–17°C on June 18—well below the mid-June climatological average of roughly 20–22°C. This anomaly, driven by northerly flow and possible frontal passage, explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities (around 25–26% each) to 16°C and 17°C, followed closely by 15°C. Key variables differentiating these outcomes include the precise timing of any clearing skies, model spread in boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat effects. New runs from global and regional models, plus official Roshydromet guidance, will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
16°C 26%
17°C 26%
15°C 17%
18°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
10%
15°C
17%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
13%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 26%
17°C 26%
15°C 17%
18°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
$20 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$36 Обс.
3%
14°C
$20 Обс.
10%
15°C
$12 Обс.
17%
16°C
$5 Обс.
26%
17°C
$211 Обс.
26%
18°C
$29 Обс.
13%
19°C
$71 Обс.
7%
20°C
$196 Обс.
1%
21°C
$87 Обс.
<1%
22°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models highlight a cool air mass and increased cloud cover over Moscow, suppressing daytime heating and pointing to a maximum temperature near 13–17°C on June 18—well below the mid-June climatological average of roughly 20–22°C. This anomaly, driven by northerly flow and possible frontal passage, explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities (around 25–26% each) to 16°C and 17°C, followed closely by 15°C. Key variables differentiating these outcomes include the precise timing of any clearing skies, model spread in boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat effects. New runs from global and regional models, plus official Roshydromet guidance, will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$688Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models highlight a cool air mass and increased cloud cover over Moscow, suppressing daytime heating and pointing to a maximum temperature near 13–17°C on June 18—well below the mid-June climatological average of roughly 20–22°C. This anomaly, driven by northerly flow and possible frontal passage, explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities (around 25–26% each) to 16°C and 17°C, followed closely by 15°C. Key variables differentiating these outcomes include the precise timing of any clearing skies, model spread in boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat effects. New runs from global and regional models, plus official Roshydromet guidance, will likely tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$688Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models highlight a cool air mass and increased cloud cover over Moscow, suppressing daytime heating and pointing to a maximum temperature near 13–17°C on June 18—well below the mid-June climatological average of roughly 20–22°C. This anomaly, driven by northerly flow and possible frontal passage, explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities (around 25–26% each) to 16°C and 17°C, followed closely by 15°C. Key variables differentiating these outcomes include the precise timing of any clearing skies, model spread in boundary-layer mixing, and local urban heat effects. New runs from global and regional models, plus official Roshydromet guidance, will likely tighten the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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