Latest model consensus from European and Russian meteorological centers points to a maximum temperature in Moscow on June 16 clustering between 17–20 °C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and a modest chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. Recent surface observations and 48-hour forecast runs show daytime maxima near 18–19 °C under broken cloud, with small differences in timing or extent of precipitation able to shift the peak by 1–2 °C. These uncertainties, typical for short-range temperature forecasts this far ahead, underpin the closely matched market-implied probabilities around the 17–19 °C outcomes. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
18°C 30%
19°C 25%
17°C 21%
20°C 11.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
21%
18°C
32%
19°C
25%
20°C
12%
21°C
6%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 30%
19°C 25%
17°C 21%
20°C 11.8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
12°C or below
$86 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$167 Обс.
1%
14°C
$73 Обс.
2%
15°C
$25 Обс.
3%
16°C
$54 Обс.
6%
17°C
$0 Обс.
21%
18°C
$5 Обс.
32%
19°C
$26 Обс.
25%
20°C
$1 Обс.
12%
21°C
$99 Обс.
6%
22°C or higher
$115 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model consensus from European and Russian meteorological centers points to a maximum temperature in Moscow on June 16 clustering between 17–20 °C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and a modest chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. Recent surface observations and 48-hour forecast runs show daytime maxima near 18–19 °C under broken cloud, with small differences in timing or extent of precipitation able to shift the peak by 1–2 °C. These uncertainties, typical for short-range temperature forecasts this far ahead, underpin the closely matched market-implied probabilities around the 17–19 °C outcomes. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$637Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest model consensus from European and Russian meteorological centers points to a maximum temperature in Moscow on June 16 clustering between 17–20 °C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and a modest chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. Recent surface observations and 48-hour forecast runs show daytime maxima near 18–19 °C under broken cloud, with small differences in timing or extent of precipitation able to shift the peak by 1–2 °C. These uncertainties, typical for short-range temperature forecasts this far ahead, underpin the closely matched market-implied probabilities around the 17–19 °C outcomes. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$637Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest model consensus from European and Russian meteorological centers points to a maximum temperature in Moscow on June 16 clustering between 17–20 °C, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and a modest chance of light showers that limit daytime heating. Recent surface observations and 48-hour forecast runs show daytime maxima near 18–19 °C under broken cloud, with small differences in timing or extent of precipitation able to shift the peak by 1–2 °C. These uncertainties, typical for short-range temperature forecasts this far ahead, underpin the closely matched market-implied probabilities around the 17–19 °C outcomes. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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