Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will likely peak near 21–22 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because a weak frontal boundary is expected to limit daytime heating while preventing strong radiational cooling. Historical climatology for mid-June places the average daily high at approximately 22 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal implied probability to the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning, incorporating fresh radiosonde and satellite data, will refine the exact maximum before markets close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
21°C 30%
22°C 30%
20°C 18%
23°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
18%
21°C
30%
22°C
30%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 30%
22°C 30%
20°C 18%
23°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
$303 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$533 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$383 Обс.
1%
19°C
$506 Обс.
7%
20°C
$205 Обс.
18%
21°C
$155 Обс.
30%
22°C
$225 Обс.
30%
23°C
$335 Обс.
13%
24°C
$609 Обс.
5%
25°C
$1,404 Обс.
2%
26°C or higher
$2,578 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will likely peak near 21–22 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because a weak frontal boundary is expected to limit daytime heating while preventing strong radiational cooling. Historical climatology for mid-June places the average daily high at approximately 22 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal implied probability to the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning, incorporating fresh radiosonde and satellite data, will refine the exact maximum before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,225Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will likely peak near 21–22 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because a weak frontal boundary is expected to limit daytime heating while preventing strong radiational cooling. Historical climatology for mid-June places the average daily high at approximately 22 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal implied probability to the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning, incorporating fresh radiosonde and satellite data, will refine the exact maximum before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,225Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow's June 15 maximum will likely peak near 21–22 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because a weak frontal boundary is expected to limit daytime heating while preventing strong radiational cooling. Historical climatology for mid-June places the average daily high at approximately 22 °C, providing context for why traders assign nearly equal implied probability to the two leading outcomes. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning, incorporating fresh radiosonde and satellite data, will refine the exact maximum before markets close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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