Current numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS show maximum temperatures in Warsaw clustered between 23–25 °C on June 18, driving the market’s tight distribution with 24 °C leading at 37 %. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and possible scattered showers that could suppress peaks by 1–2 °C relative to clear-sky scenarios. Recent runs indicate a stable air mass without strong warm advection, consistent with near-normal early-summer conditions rather than heat-wave potential. Traders monitor the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles for shifts in boundary-layer moisture or insolation forecasts, which directly affect resolution against official observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
24°C 39%
25°C 31%
23°C 23%
26°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
23%
24°C
39%
25°C
31%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
25°C 31%
23°C 23%
26°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
$201 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$151 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$199 Обс.
1%
22°C
$134 Обс.
3%
23°C
$174 Обс.
23%
24°C
$138 Обс.
39%
25°C
$243 Обс.
31%
26°C
$142 Обс.
5%
27°C
$106 Обс.
1%
28°C
$227 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$226 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS show maximum temperatures in Warsaw clustered between 23–25 °C on June 18, driving the market’s tight distribution with 24 °C leading at 37 %. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and possible scattered showers that could suppress peaks by 1–2 °C relative to clear-sky scenarios. Recent runs indicate a stable air mass without strong warm advection, consistent with near-normal early-summer conditions rather than heat-wave potential. Traders monitor the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles for shifts in boundary-layer moisture or insolation forecasts, which directly affect resolution against official observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,917Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS show maximum temperatures in Warsaw clustered between 23–25 °C on June 18, driving the market’s tight distribution with 24 °C leading at 37 %. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and possible scattered showers that could suppress peaks by 1–2 °C relative to clear-sky scenarios. Recent runs indicate a stable air mass without strong warm advection, consistent with near-normal early-summer conditions rather than heat-wave potential. Traders monitor the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles for shifts in boundary-layer moisture or insolation forecasts, which directly affect resolution against official observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,917Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS show maximum temperatures in Warsaw clustered between 23–25 °C on June 18, driving the market’s tight distribution with 24 °C leading at 37 %. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, light westerly flow, and possible scattered showers that could suppress peaks by 1–2 °C relative to clear-sky scenarios. Recent runs indicate a stable air mass without strong warm advection, consistent with near-normal early-summer conditions rather than heat-wave potential. Traders monitor the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles for shifts in boundary-layer moisture or insolation forecasts, which directly affect resolution against official observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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