Latest numerical weather prediction runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles show Milan maximum temperatures on June 18 most likely peaking between 33–35 °C under persistent high pressure and light easterly flow, keeping the market’s near-even split between the 33 °C and 34 °C contracts. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and any thin high-cloud veil that could shave 1–2 °C from peak readings, while stronger insolation or slightly drier air would push readings toward the upper end of that range. Following Europe’s exceptional early-June heatwave, current 850 hPa temperatures remain 3–5 °C above climatology, yet no pronounced warm-air advection is expected before the 18th. Official Italian forecasts and updated model cycles issued in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the remaining spread ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on June 18?
33°C 39%
34°C 36%
35°C 14%
32°C 10%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
10%
33°C
39%
34°C
36%
35°C
14%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 39%
34°C 36%
35°C 14%
32°C 10%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
10%
33°C
39%
34°C
36%
35°C
14%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles show Milan maximum temperatures on June 18 most likely peaking between 33–35 °C under persistent high pressure and light easterly flow, keeping the market’s near-even split between the 33 °C and 34 °C contracts. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth and any thin high-cloud veil that could shave 1–2 °C from peak readings, while stronger insolation or slightly drier air would push readings toward the upper end of that range. Following Europe’s exceptional early-June heatwave, current 850 hPa temperatures remain 3–5 °C above climatology, yet no pronounced warm-air advection is expected before the 18th. Official Italian forecasts and updated model cycles issued in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the remaining spread ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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