Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum of 28–30°C in Hong Kong on June 18, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity likely moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for above-normal June temperatures aligns with the market’s tight clustering around these values, while short-term variability in cloud cover, wind patterns from the southwest monsoon, and urban heat retention create the narrow spread between 28°C and 30°C. Traders weigh model consensus on convective activity against climatological averages near 30°C, with any shift in rainfall timing or intensity capable of tipping the exact high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 18?
29°C 34%
30°C 26%
28°C 24%
31°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
24%
29°C
34%
30°C
26%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 26%
28°C 24%
31°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
24°C or below
$99 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$156 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$440 Обс.
1%
27°C
$214 Обс.
8%
28°C
$310 Обс.
24%
29°C
$276 Обс.
34%
30°C
$243 Обс.
26%
31°C
$273 Обс.
9%
32°C
$115 Обс.
3%
33°C
$147 Обс.
1%
34°C or higher
$93 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum of 28–30°C in Hong Kong on June 18, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity likely moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for above-normal June temperatures aligns with the market’s tight clustering around these values, while short-term variability in cloud cover, wind patterns from the southwest monsoon, and urban heat retention create the narrow spread between 28°C and 30°C. Traders weigh model consensus on convective activity against climatological averages near 30°C, with any shift in rainfall timing or intensity capable of tipping the exact high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,315Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum of 28–30°C in Hong Kong on June 18, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity likely moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for above-normal June temperatures aligns with the market’s tight clustering around these values, while short-term variability in cloud cover, wind patterns from the southwest monsoon, and urban heat retention create the narrow spread between 28°C and 30°C. Traders weigh model consensus on convective activity against climatological averages near 30°C, with any shift in rainfall timing or intensity capable of tipping the exact high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$2,315Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily maximum of 28–30°C in Hong Kong on June 18, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity likely moderating peak heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for above-normal June temperatures aligns with the market’s tight clustering around these values, while short-term variability in cloud cover, wind patterns from the southwest monsoon, and urban heat retention create the narrow spread between 28°C and 30°C. Traders weigh model consensus on convective activity against climatological averages near 30°C, with any shift in rainfall timing or intensity capable of tipping the exact high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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