Recent ensemble forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS show Taipei's June 16 maximum likely ranging 29–31°C amid typical early-summer monsoon flow and high humidity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Urban heat-island effects and local sea-breeze timing introduce micro-scale variability that differentiates the closely matched 28–32°C probabilities, while longer-range guidance remains sensitive to subtle shifts in subtropical ridge strength. Traders weigh model consensus against historical June baselines near 30–31°C, with updated runs and any late-week disturbance tracking the primary near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
30°C 28%
29°C 22%
31°C 17%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
11%
29°C
22%
30°C
28%
31°C
17%
32°C
6%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 28%
29°C 22%
31°C 17%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
$148 Обс.
1%
26°C
$130 Обс.
3%
27°C
$145 Обс.
8%
28°C
$128 Обс.
11%
29°C
$182 Обс.
22%
30°C
$220 Обс.
28%
31°C
$151 Обс.
17%
32°C
$444 Обс.
6%
33°C
$364 Обс.
5%
34°C
$344 Обс.
1%
35°C or higher
$655 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS show Taipei's June 16 maximum likely ranging 29–31°C amid typical early-summer monsoon flow and high humidity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Urban heat-island effects and local sea-breeze timing introduce micro-scale variability that differentiates the closely matched 28–32°C probabilities, while longer-range guidance remains sensitive to subtle shifts in subtropical ridge strength. Traders weigh model consensus against historical June baselines near 30–31°C, with updated runs and any late-week disturbance tracking the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,858Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS show Taipei's June 16 maximum likely ranging 29–31°C amid typical early-summer monsoon flow and high humidity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Urban heat-island effects and local sea-breeze timing introduce micro-scale variability that differentiates the closely matched 28–32°C probabilities, while longer-range guidance remains sensitive to subtle shifts in subtropical ridge strength. Traders weigh model consensus against historical June baselines near 30–31°C, with updated runs and any late-week disturbance tracking the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,858Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS show Taipei's June 16 maximum likely ranging 29–31°C amid typical early-summer monsoon flow and high humidity, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Urban heat-island effects and local sea-breeze timing introduce micro-scale variability that differentiates the closely matched 28–32°C probabilities, while longer-range guidance remains sensitive to subtle shifts in subtropical ridge strength. Traders weigh model consensus against historical June baselines near 30–31°C, with updated runs and any late-week disturbance tracking the primary near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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