Traders assign nearly equal weight to 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18 because numerical weather models show the daily maximum clustering tightly around these values under typical early-summer conditions. Persistent high pressure and weak synoptic flow favor strong daytime heating, yet the moderating influence of the Mediterranean sea breeze—onshore flow that intensifies by afternoon—often caps readings near 29–30°C. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing, which can shift the peak by 1°C. With the Israel Meteorological Service and global models converging on this narrow range and no significant heat advection or cloud cover expected, the close market-implied odds reflect genuine forecast sensitivity to these local thermodynamic factors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
29°C 39%
30°C 37%
31°C 17%
28°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
39%
30°C
37%
31°C
17%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 39%
30°C 37%
31°C 17%
28°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
$676 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$265 Обс.
3%
28°C
$241 Обс.
8%
29°C
$476 Обс.
39%
30°C
$3 Обс.
37%
31°C
$44 Обс.
17%
32°C
$362 Обс.
1%
33°C
$39 Обс.
1%
34°C
$5,105 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$913 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$471 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly equal weight to 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18 because numerical weather models show the daily maximum clustering tightly around these values under typical early-summer conditions. Persistent high pressure and weak synoptic flow favor strong daytime heating, yet the moderating influence of the Mediterranean sea breeze—onshore flow that intensifies by afternoon—often caps readings near 29–30°C. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing, which can shift the peak by 1°C. With the Israel Meteorological Service and global models converging on this narrow range and no significant heat advection or cloud cover expected, the close market-implied odds reflect genuine forecast sensitivity to these local thermodynamic factors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,534Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly equal weight to 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18 because numerical weather models show the daily maximum clustering tightly around these values under typical early-summer conditions. Persistent high pressure and weak synoptic flow favor strong daytime heating, yet the moderating influence of the Mediterranean sea breeze—onshore flow that intensifies by afternoon—often caps readings near 29–30°C. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing, which can shift the peak by 1°C. With the Israel Meteorological Service and global models converging on this narrow range and no significant heat advection or cloud cover expected, the close market-implied odds reflect genuine forecast sensitivity to these local thermodynamic factors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,534Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign nearly equal weight to 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18 because numerical weather models show the daily maximum clustering tightly around these values under typical early-summer conditions. Persistent high pressure and weak synoptic flow favor strong daytime heating, yet the moderating influence of the Mediterranean sea breeze—onshore flow that intensifies by afternoon—often caps readings near 29–30°C. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing, which can shift the peak by 1°C. With the Israel Meteorological Service and global models converging on this narrow range and no significant heat advection or cloud cover expected, the close market-implied odds reflect genuine forecast sensitivity to these local thermodynamic factors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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