Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to partly cloudy conditions on June 16 amid the ongoing tsuyu rainy season, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima near the 26 °C seasonal average. Ensemble models show modest spread driven by variable cloud breaks and weak southerly flow, favoring a most-likely peak of 26–27 °C while lowering odds of 28 °C or higher. Historical mid-June variability in Tokyo, combined with current moisture and limited diurnal range, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 20%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
20%
26°C
36%
27°C
29%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 20%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
$740 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$124 Обс.
1%
23°C
$439 Обс.
1%
24°C
$68 Обс.
5%
25°C
$147 Обс.
20%
26°C
$80 Обс.
36%
27°C
$43 Обс.
29%
28°C
$180 Обс.
11%
29°C
$30 Обс.
2%
30°C
$45 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$452 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to partly cloudy conditions on June 16 amid the ongoing tsuyu rainy season, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima near the 26 °C seasonal average. Ensemble models show modest spread driven by variable cloud breaks and weak southerly flow, favoring a most-likely peak of 26–27 °C while lowering odds of 28 °C or higher. Historical mid-June variability in Tokyo, combined with current moisture and limited diurnal range, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,143Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to partly cloudy conditions on June 16 amid the ongoing tsuyu rainy season, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima near the 26 °C seasonal average. Ensemble models show modest spread driven by variable cloud breaks and weak southerly flow, favoring a most-likely peak of 26–27 °C while lowering odds of 28 °C or higher. Historical mid-June variability in Tokyo, combined with current moisture and limited diurnal range, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,143Дата завершення
Jun 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to partly cloudy conditions on June 16 amid the ongoing tsuyu rainy season, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima near the 26 °C seasonal average. Ensemble models show modest spread driven by variable cloud breaks and weak southerly flow, favoring a most-likely peak of 26–27 °C while lowering odds of 28 °C or higher. Historical mid-June variability in Tokyo, combined with current moisture and limited diurnal range, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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