Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate rain and lingering cloud cover over Tokyo on June 15, suppressing maximum temperatures below the seasonal average near 26°C. This aligns with early tsuyu (rainy season) patterns, where persistent moisture and reduced insolation typically limit daytime highs to the low 20s. Model consensus supports 20–22°C outcomes as the most likely, with differentiation among these hinging on rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming. Historical mid-June data show similar rainy episodes frequently capping peaks 4–6°C below clear-day norms, consistent with current market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 21–22°C. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these variables.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?
21°C 36%
22°C 33%
23°C 16%
20°C 15%
НОВЕ
$17,577 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,577 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
15%
21°C
36%
22°C
33%
23°C
16%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 36%
22°C 33%
23°C 16%
20°C 15%
НОВЕ
$17,577 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,577 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
$2,804 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$1,109 Обс.
1%
19°C
$1,548 Обс.
3%
20°C
$933 Обс.
15%
21°C
$968 Обс.
36%
22°C
$1,029 Обс.
33%
23°C
$711 Обс.
16%
24°C
$2,207 Обс.
3%
25°C
$1,427 Обс.
1%
26°C
$1,989 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$2,933 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate rain and lingering cloud cover over Tokyo on June 15, suppressing maximum temperatures below the seasonal average near 26°C. This aligns with early tsuyu (rainy season) patterns, where persistent moisture and reduced insolation typically limit daytime highs to the low 20s. Model consensus supports 20–22°C outcomes as the most likely, with differentiation among these hinging on rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming. Historical mid-June data show similar rainy episodes frequently capping peaks 4–6°C below clear-day norms, consistent with current market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 21–22°C. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,577Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate rain and lingering cloud cover over Tokyo on June 15, suppressing maximum temperatures below the seasonal average near 26°C. This aligns with early tsuyu (rainy season) patterns, where persistent moisture and reduced insolation typically limit daytime highs to the low 20s. Model consensus supports 20–22°C outcomes as the most likely, with differentiation among these hinging on rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming. Historical mid-June data show similar rainy episodes frequently capping peaks 4–6°C below clear-day norms, consistent with current market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 21–22°C. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$17,577Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate rain and lingering cloud cover over Tokyo on June 15, suppressing maximum temperatures below the seasonal average near 26°C. This aligns with early tsuyu (rainy season) patterns, where persistent moisture and reduced insolation typically limit daytime highs to the low 20s. Model consensus supports 20–22°C outcomes as the most likely, with differentiation among these hinging on rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming. Historical mid-June data show similar rainy episodes frequently capping peaks 4–6°C below clear-day norms, consistent with current market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 21–22°C. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these variables.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання