Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national agencies show Moscow's June 17 maximum temperature centered near 18°C, with outcomes tightly clustered due to modest uncertainty in 48-hour guidance. Key drivers include the strength and timing of a weak Atlantic low-pressure trough versus a building high, which control southerly warm-air advection and daytime insolation; variable cloud cover and possible light showers could suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical June averages near 20–22°C provide context, yet current steering patterns favor slightly cooler conditions. Traders weigh the latest model runs and ensemble spreads, which keep 17–19°C probabilities nearly even ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on June 17?
18°C 22%
17°C 21%
19°C 18%
16°C 14%
13°C or below
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
9%
16°C
14%
17°C
21%
18°C
22%
19°C
18%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
18°C 22%
17°C 21%
19°C 18%
16°C 14%
13°C or below
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
9%
16°C
14%
17°C
21%
18°C
22%
19°C
18%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 15, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and national agencies show Moscow's June 17 maximum temperature centered near 18°C, with outcomes tightly clustered due to modest uncertainty in 48-hour guidance. Key drivers include the strength and timing of a weak Atlantic low-pressure trough versus a building high, which control southerly warm-air advection and daytime insolation; variable cloud cover and possible light showers could suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical June averages near 20–22°C provide context, yet current steering patterns favor slightly cooler conditions. Traders weigh the latest model runs and ensemble spreads, which keep 17–19°C probabilities nearly even ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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