**Forecast models and observational trends position 27–29°C as the dominant range for Busan’s June 15 high.** As of June 14, short-range guidance from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather consensus shows daytime maxima of 26–28°C under sunny intervals or partly cloudy skies, with light southerly or easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. Busan’s coastal setting on the southeastern peninsula introduces a moderating marine influence that typically caps early-June peaks several degrees below inland locations, aligning with historical climatology where mid-June averages hover near 26°C. Recent model runs have remained stable, showing no significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings into the low 30s. Trader-implied probabilities—led by 28°C (38.5%) then 29°C (24.5%) and 27°C (23.5%)—closely track this narrow envelope of official and ensemble forecasts. The low odds on 30°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes reflect both the absence of anomalous synoptic patterns and the tight uncertainty range typical of a 24-hour forecast horizon. Updated KMA or global model guidance on the morning of June 15 will serve as the primary catalyst for any final shifts in market pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Busan on June 15?
28°C 39%
29°C 25%
27°C 24%
30°C 5.2%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
24%
28°C
39%
29°C
25%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 39%
29°C 25%
27°C 24%
30°C 5.2%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
24%
28°C
39%
29°C
25%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observational trends position 27–29°C as the dominant range for Busan’s June 15 high.** As of June 14, short-range guidance from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather consensus shows daytime maxima of 26–28°C under sunny intervals or partly cloudy skies, with light southerly or easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. Busan’s coastal setting on the southeastern peninsula introduces a moderating marine influence that typically caps early-June peaks several degrees below inland locations, aligning with historical climatology where mid-June averages hover near 26°C. Recent model runs have remained stable, showing no significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings into the low 30s. Trader-implied probabilities—led by 28°C (38.5%) then 29°C (24.5%) and 27°C (23.5%)—closely track this narrow envelope of official and ensemble forecasts. The low odds on 30°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes reflect both the absence of anomalous synoptic patterns and the tight uncertainty range typical of a 24-hour forecast horizon. Updated KMA or global model guidance on the morning of June 15 will serve as the primary catalyst for any final shifts in market pricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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