**Trader sentiment for Mexico City’s June 14 high temperature remains tightly balanced between 25 °C and 26 °C because both outcomes align with typical early-rainy-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation.** June averages place daily maxima near 24–25 °C (75–77 °F), with a gradual seasonal decline as increased cloud cover and afternoon convection reduce solar heating. On this date, model guidance and recent observations converge on a narrow window where modest variations in timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or urban heat-island enhancement can easily shift the peak by 1 °C. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of orographic and convective clouds, which often develop after midday and suppress further warming; surface wind speeds that mix cooler air from higher terrain; and precise insolation under partly cloudy skies. With no strong synoptic heat advection or clear-sky anomaly expected, the market reflects genuine uncertainty around these micro-scale processes rather than a broad forecast shift. Updated observational data or revised model runs later in the day could still tip the consensus between the two leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 14?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 14?
26°C 38%
25°C 36%
27°C 10.7%
24°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 14, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
36%
26°C
38%
27°C
11%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 38%
25°C 36%
27°C 10.7%
24°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 14, 2026
19°C or below
$239 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$413 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$812 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,184 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$999 Обс.
3%
24°C
$851 Обс.
11%
25°C
$371 Обс.
36%
26°C
$933 Обс.
38%
27°C
$1,250 Обс.
11%
28°C
$888 Обс.
1%
29°C or higher
$319 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City’s June 14 high temperature remains tightly balanced between 25 °C and 26 °C because both outcomes align with typical early-rainy-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation.** June averages place daily maxima near 24–25 °C (75–77 °F), with a gradual seasonal decline as increased cloud cover and afternoon convection reduce solar heating. On this date, model guidance and recent observations converge on a narrow window where modest variations in timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or urban heat-island enhancement can easily shift the peak by 1 °C.
Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of orographic and convective clouds, which often develop after midday and suppress further warming; surface wind speeds that mix cooler air from higher terrain; and precise insolation under partly cloudy skies. With no strong synoptic heat advection or clear-sky anomaly expected, the market reflects genuine uncertainty around these micro-scale processes rather than a broad forecast shift. Updated observational data or revised model runs later in the day could still tip the consensus between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,249Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City’s June 14 high temperature remains tightly balanced between 25 °C and 26 °C because both outcomes align with typical early-rainy-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation.** June averages place daily maxima near 24–25 °C (75–77 °F), with a gradual seasonal decline as increased cloud cover and afternoon convection reduce solar heating. On this date, model guidance and recent observations converge on a narrow window where modest variations in timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or urban heat-island enhancement can easily shift the peak by 1 °C.
Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of orographic and convective clouds, which often develop after midday and suppress further warming; surface wind speeds that mix cooler air from higher terrain; and precise insolation under partly cloudy skies. With no strong synoptic heat advection or clear-sky anomaly expected, the market reflects genuine uncertainty around these micro-scale processes rather than a broad forecast shift. Updated observational data or revised model runs later in the day could still tip the consensus between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,249Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Mexico City’s June 14 high temperature remains tightly balanced between 25 °C and 26 °C because both outcomes align with typical early-rainy-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation.** June averages place daily maxima near 24–25 °C (75–77 °F), with a gradual seasonal decline as increased cloud cover and afternoon convection reduce solar heating. On this date, model guidance and recent observations converge on a narrow window where modest variations in timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or urban heat-island enhancement can easily shift the peak by 1 °C. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of orographic and convective clouds, which often develop after midday and suppress further warming; surface wind speeds that mix cooler air from higher terrain; and precise insolation under partly cloudy skies. With no strong synoptic heat advection or clear-sky anomaly expected, the market reflects genuine uncertainty around these micro-scale processes rather than a broad forecast shift. Updated observational data or revised model runs later in the day could still tip the consensus between the two leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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