Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to a 23–24°C peak in London on June 15 under building high pressure, variable cloud, and mostly light winds, yet the near-even split between 22°C and 23°C market outcomes reflects uncertainty in maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any brief shower timing that could trim the high by 1°C. BBC and ECMWF runs align closer to 22–23°C, while historical June averages near 19–20°C provide context for the modest upside. Traders are watching final model runs and London City Airport observations for resolution, where small differences in cloud cover or wind speed determine whether the peak registers at 22°C or 23°C rather than the forecast 24°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on June 15?
Highest temperature in London on June 15?
22°C 39%
23°C 34%
21°C 16%
24°C or higher 12.3%
НОВЕ
$19,270 Обс.
НОВЕ
$19,270 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
16%
22°C
39%
23°C
34%
24°C or higher
12%
22°C 39%
23°C 34%
21°C 16%
24°C or higher 12.3%
НОВЕ
$19,270 Обс.
НОВЕ
$19,270 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
14°C or below
$473 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$468 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$499 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$632 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$1,186 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$2,348 Обс.
1%
20°C
$2,917 Обс.
3%
21°C
$2,441 Обс.
16%
22°C
$2,404 Обс.
39%
23°C
$2,337 Обс.
34%
24°C or higher
$3,769 Обс.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to a 23–24°C peak in London on June 15 under building high pressure, variable cloud, and mostly light winds, yet the near-even split between 22°C and 23°C market outcomes reflects uncertainty in maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any brief shower timing that could trim the high by 1°C. BBC and ECMWF runs align closer to 22–23°C, while historical June averages near 19–20°C provide context for the modest upside. Traders are watching final model runs and London City Airport observations for resolution, where small differences in cloud cover or wind speed determine whether the peak registers at 22°C or 23°C rather than the forecast 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,270Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to a 23–24°C peak in London on June 15 under building high pressure, variable cloud, and mostly light winds, yet the near-even split between 22°C and 23°C market outcomes reflects uncertainty in maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any brief shower timing that could trim the high by 1°C. BBC and ECMWF runs align closer to 22–23°C, while historical June averages near 19–20°C provide context for the modest upside. Traders are watching final model runs and London City Airport observations for resolution, where small differences in cloud cover or wind speed determine whether the peak registers at 22°C or 23°C rather than the forecast 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$19,270Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to a 23–24°C peak in London on June 15 under building high pressure, variable cloud, and mostly light winds, yet the near-even split between 22°C and 23°C market outcomes reflects uncertainty in maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any brief shower timing that could trim the high by 1°C. BBC and ECMWF runs align closer to 22–23°C, while historical June averages near 19–20°C provide context for the modest upside. Traders are watching final model runs and London City Airport observations for resolution, where small differences in cloud cover or wind speed determine whether the peak registers at 22°C or 23°C rather than the forecast 24°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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