**Trader sentiment for Tokyo's June 17 minimum temperature reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty during the early tsuyu rainy season, with the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) indicating mostly cloudy conditions and a modeled overnight low near 17–20 °C.** This places the modal outcomes around the 16–23 °C bands (each ~34–36 %), while the 40.5 % implied probability on 15 °C or below captures the realistic downside risk from enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under partial clearing or a modest cool-air intrusion. Historical June climatology at Tokyo stations shows daily minima tightly clustered near 18–21 °C under stable high-humidity flow; deviations arise primarily from cloud-cover variations and the precise timing of weak frontal passages or sea-breeze modulation. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next JMA and ensemble model runs will tighten the range by clarifying overnight sky cover and boundary-layer moisture, directly shifting probabilities among the closely matched central outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 17?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 17?
20°C 30%
19°C 24%
22°C 21%
16°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 17, 2026
15°C or below
8%
16°C
18%
17°C
16%
18°C
16%
19°C
24%
20°C
30%
21°C
10%
22°C
21%
23°C
16%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 30%
19°C 24%
22°C 21%
16°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 17, 2026
15°C or below
$22 Обс.
8%
16°C
$22 Обс.
18%
17°C
$0 Обс.
16%
18°C
$0 Обс.
16%
19°C
$0 Обс.
24%
20°C
$0 Обс.
30%
21°C
$8 Обс.
10%
22°C
$29 Обс.
21%
23°C
$0 Обс.
16%
24°C
$0 Обс.
2%
25°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Tokyo's June 17 minimum temperature reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty during the early tsuyu rainy season, with the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) indicating mostly cloudy conditions and a modeled overnight low near 17–20 °C.**
This places the modal outcomes around the 16–23 °C bands (each ~34–36 %), while the 40.5 % implied probability on 15 °C or below captures the realistic downside risk from enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under partial clearing or a modest cool-air intrusion. Historical June climatology at Tokyo stations shows daily minima tightly clustered near 18–21 °C under stable high-humidity flow; deviations arise primarily from cloud-cover variations and the precise timing of weak frontal passages or sea-breeze modulation.
With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next JMA and ensemble model runs will tighten the range by clarifying overnight sky cover and boundary-layer moisture, directly shifting probabilities among the closely matched central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$22Дата завершення
Jun 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Tokyo's June 17 minimum temperature reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty during the early tsuyu rainy season, with the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) indicating mostly cloudy conditions and a modeled overnight low near 17–20 °C.**
This places the modal outcomes around the 16–23 °C bands (each ~34–36 %), while the 40.5 % implied probability on 15 °C or below captures the realistic downside risk from enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under partial clearing or a modest cool-air intrusion. Historical June climatology at Tokyo stations shows daily minima tightly clustered near 18–21 °C under stable high-humidity flow; deviations arise primarily from cloud-cover variations and the precise timing of weak frontal passages or sea-breeze modulation.
With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next JMA and ensemble model runs will tighten the range by clarifying overnight sky cover and boundary-layer moisture, directly shifting probabilities among the closely matched central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$22Дата завершення
Jun 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Tokyo's June 17 minimum temperature reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty during the early tsuyu rainy season, with the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) indicating mostly cloudy conditions and a modeled overnight low near 17–20 °C.** This places the modal outcomes around the 16–23 °C bands (each ~34–36 %), while the 40.5 % implied probability on 15 °C or below captures the realistic downside risk from enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under partial clearing or a modest cool-air intrusion. Historical June climatology at Tokyo stations shows daily minima tightly clustered near 18–21 °C under stable high-humidity flow; deviations arise primarily from cloud-cover variations and the precise timing of weak frontal passages or sea-breeze modulation. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next JMA and ensemble model runs will tighten the range by clarifying overnight sky cover and boundary-layer moisture, directly shifting probabilities among the closely matched central outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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