Current NWS forecasts for Houston on June 14 project a high near 93°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, aligning with June climatology at IAH where normal highs reach 92°F. These conditions favor the market's leading 90-91°F bin at 51.5% implied probability, as afternoon convection and high humidity often suppress peak temperatures below model guidance while limiting rapid warming. Recent model consensus shows minimal deviation from seasonal baselines, with Gulf moisture and southeasterly flow keeping extremes unlikely; traders appear to weigh the 19.5% chance for 92-93°F against the elevated odds of slight cooling from storms. Updated observations and evening verification will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on June 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 14?
90-91°F 52%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 20%
94-95°F 1.6%
$15,713 Обс.
$15,713 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
52%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 52%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 20%
94-95°F 1.6%
$15,713 Обс.
$15,713 Обс.
Jun 14, 2026
81°F or below
$651 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,161 Обс.
1%
84-85°F
$2,144 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$2,133 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$1,379 Обс.
29%
90-91°F
$1,971 Обс.
52%
92-93°F
$1,886 Обс.
20%
94-95°F
$1,664 Обс.
2%
96-97°F
$1,486 Обс.
<1%
98-99°F
$655 Обс.
<1%
100°F or higher
$666 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS forecasts for Houston on June 14 project a high near 93°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, aligning with June climatology at IAH where normal highs reach 92°F. These conditions favor the market's leading 90-91°F bin at 51.5% implied probability, as afternoon convection and high humidity often suppress peak temperatures below model guidance while limiting rapid warming. Recent model consensus shows minimal deviation from seasonal baselines, with Gulf moisture and southeasterly flow keeping extremes unlikely; traders appear to weigh the 19.5% chance for 92-93°F against the elevated odds of slight cooling from storms. Updated observations and evening verification will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,713Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS forecasts for Houston on June 14 project a high near 93°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, aligning with June climatology at IAH where normal highs reach 92°F. These conditions favor the market's leading 90-91°F bin at 51.5% implied probability, as afternoon convection and high humidity often suppress peak temperatures below model guidance while limiting rapid warming. Recent model consensus shows minimal deviation from seasonal baselines, with Gulf moisture and southeasterly flow keeping extremes unlikely; traders appear to weigh the 19.5% chance for 92-93°F against the elevated odds of slight cooling from storms. Updated observations and evening verification will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15,713Дата завершення
Jun 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current NWS forecasts for Houston on June 14 project a high near 93°F under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, aligning with June climatology at IAH where normal highs reach 92°F. These conditions favor the market's leading 90-91°F bin at 51.5% implied probability, as afternoon convection and high humidity often suppress peak temperatures below model guidance while limiting rapid warming. Recent model consensus shows minimal deviation from seasonal baselines, with Gulf moisture and southeasterly flow keeping extremes unlikely; traders appear to weigh the 19.5% chance for 92-93°F against the elevated odds of slight cooling from storms. Updated observations and evening verification will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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