The Japan Meteorological Agency's June 14 forecast, calling for a 17°C minimum in Tokyo on June 15 amid expected rain and cloudy conditions, serves as the main driver anchoring trader sentiment around 17–19°C outcomes. This aligns with ensemble model consensus projecting stable boundary-layer temperatures near the seasonal June average low of 18–20°C at official stations like Haneda, where urban heat retention and limited radiative cooling under moist air reduce the chance of sharper drops. Recent model runs show little deviation from this range, though small shifts in timing of showers or low-level humidity could nudge the recorded low by 1°C. Upcoming JMA updates and refined numerical weather prediction runs will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 15?
18°C 48%
19°C 30%
17°C 22%
16°C 5.3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
22%
18°C
48%
19°C
30%
20°C
5%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 48%
19°C 30%
17°C 22%
16°C 5.3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 15, 2026
13°C or below
$525 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$1,002 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$507 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$114 Обс.
5%
17°C
$56 Обс.
22%
18°C
$61 Обс.
48%
19°C
$176 Обс.
30%
20°C
$78 Обс.
5%
21°C
$408 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$592 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$387 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency's June 14 forecast, calling for a 17°C minimum in Tokyo on June 15 amid expected rain and cloudy conditions, serves as the main driver anchoring trader sentiment around 17–19°C outcomes. This aligns with ensemble model consensus projecting stable boundary-layer temperatures near the seasonal June average low of 18–20°C at official stations like Haneda, where urban heat retention and limited radiative cooling under moist air reduce the chance of sharper drops. Recent model runs show little deviation from this range, though small shifts in timing of showers or low-level humidity could nudge the recorded low by 1°C. Upcoming JMA updates and refined numerical weather prediction runs will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,878Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency's June 14 forecast, calling for a 17°C minimum in Tokyo on June 15 amid expected rain and cloudy conditions, serves as the main driver anchoring trader sentiment around 17–19°C outcomes. This aligns with ensemble model consensus projecting stable boundary-layer temperatures near the seasonal June average low of 18–20°C at official stations like Haneda, where urban heat retention and limited radiative cooling under moist air reduce the chance of sharper drops. Recent model runs show little deviation from this range, though small shifts in timing of showers or low-level humidity could nudge the recorded low by 1°C. Upcoming JMA updates and refined numerical weather prediction runs will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,878Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Japan Meteorological Agency's June 14 forecast, calling for a 17°C minimum in Tokyo on June 15 amid expected rain and cloudy conditions, serves as the main driver anchoring trader sentiment around 17–19°C outcomes. This aligns with ensemble model consensus projecting stable boundary-layer temperatures near the seasonal June average low of 18–20°C at official stations like Haneda, where urban heat retention and limited radiative cooling under moist air reduce the chance of sharper drops. Recent model runs show little deviation from this range, though small shifts in timing of showers or low-level humidity could nudge the recorded low by 1°C. Upcoming JMA updates and refined numerical weather prediction runs will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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