Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a largely settled high-pressure regime over southern England through mid-June, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight minima around 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and UKMO show modest variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing for the 16–17 June period, producing a tight clustering of forecast minima near 16–18°C that aligns with the market’s leading probabilities. Historical June climatology places typical London lows near 12°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth tied to the post-May heat anomaly and suppressed Atlantic flow. Updated model cycles on 16 June will refine cloud and wind details ahead of the 17th’s resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on June 17?
17°C 55%
16°C 38%
18°C 19%
13°C 17%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
15%
16°C
53%
17°C
55%
18°C
19%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 55%
16°C 38%
18°C 19%
13°C 17%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
15%
16°C
53%
17°C
55%
18°C
19%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a largely settled high-pressure regime over southern England through mid-June, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight minima around 12–14°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and UKMO show modest variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing for the 16–17 June period, producing a tight clustering of forecast minima near 16–18°C that aligns with the market’s leading probabilities. Historical June climatology places typical London lows near 12°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth tied to the post-May heat anomaly and suppressed Atlantic flow. Updated model cycles on 16 June will refine cloud and wind details ahead of the 17th’s resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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