Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 17 will likely reach 22–23°C under persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu (plum rain) season. This climatological pattern, typical for mid-June, suppresses daytime heating while limiting radiational cooling at night, keeping minimum temperatures near the 20–22°C historical average for the period. Model consensus shows stable steering flow with no strong cold advection expected, though scattered showers could produce minor local variability. Trader sentiment reflected in the 41% implied probability for 18°C or below appears driven by uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can temporarily suppress readings below seasonal norms, while the clustering around 22–24°C outcomes aligns with current ensemble guidance. Updated NMC or CMA model runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these ranges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 17?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 17?
18°C or below 51%
23°C 24%
22°C 23%
24°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 17, 2026
18°C or below
51%
19°C
9%
20°C
11%
21°C
15%
22°C
23%
23°C
24%
24°C
19%
25°C
14%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 51%
23°C 24%
22°C 23%
24°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 17, 2026
18°C or below
$22 Обс.
51%
19°C
$0 Обс.
9%
20°C
$0 Обс.
11%
21°C
$0 Обс.
15%
22°C
$0 Обс.
23%
23°C
$0 Обс.
24%
24°C
$0 Обс.
19%
25°C
$0 Обс.
14%
26°C
$11 Обс.
1%
27°C
$22 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 17 will likely reach 22–23°C under persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu (plum rain) season. This climatological pattern, typical for mid-June, suppresses daytime heating while limiting radiational cooling at night, keeping minimum temperatures near the 20–22°C historical average for the period. Model consensus shows stable steering flow with no strong cold advection expected, though scattered showers could produce minor local variability. Trader sentiment reflected in the 41% implied probability for 18°C or below appears driven by uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can temporarily suppress readings below seasonal norms, while the clustering around 22–24°C outcomes aligns with current ensemble guidance. Updated NMC or CMA model runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$55Дата завершення
Jun 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 17 will likely reach 22–23°C under persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu (plum rain) season. This climatological pattern, typical for mid-June, suppresses daytime heating while limiting radiational cooling at night, keeping minimum temperatures near the 20–22°C historical average for the period. Model consensus shows stable steering flow with no strong cold advection expected, though scattered showers could produce minor local variability. Trader sentiment reflected in the 41% implied probability for 18°C or below appears driven by uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can temporarily suppress readings below seasonal norms, while the clustering around 22–24°C outcomes aligns with current ensemble guidance. Updated NMC or CMA model runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$55Дата завершення
Jun 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's overnight low on June 17 will likely reach 22–23°C under persistent cloud cover and light rain associated with the meiyu (plum rain) season. This climatological pattern, typical for mid-June, suppresses daytime heating while limiting radiational cooling at night, keeping minimum temperatures near the 20–22°C historical average for the period. Model consensus shows stable steering flow with no strong cold advection expected, though scattered showers could produce minor local variability. Trader sentiment reflected in the 41% implied probability for 18°C or below appears driven by uncertainty around exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can temporarily suppress readings below seasonal norms, while the clustering around 22–24°C outcomes aligns with current ensemble guidance. Updated NMC or CMA model runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these ranges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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