Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate peak temperatures in Amsterdam on June 17 centering on 23–24°C under building high pressure with moderate westerly flow and variable cloud cover, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Recent model runs show limited warming potential from a marine-influenced air mass, keeping values below seasonal extremes while historical June averages near 19–20°C provide context for the modest anomaly. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud development and wind shifts that could trim maxima by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 25°C. Traders will monitor updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus KNMI guidance through June 16 for final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 17?
23°C 33%
24°C 32%
22°C 13%
21°C 11%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
11%
22°C
13%
23°C
33%
24°C
32%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 33%
24°C 32%
22°C 13%
21°C 11%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
11%
22°C
13%
23°C
33%
24°C
32%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate peak temperatures in Amsterdam on June 17 centering on 23–24°C under building high pressure with moderate westerly flow and variable cloud cover, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Recent model runs show limited warming potential from a marine-influenced air mass, keeping values below seasonal extremes while historical June averages near 19–20°C provide context for the modest anomaly. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud development and wind shifts that could trim maxima by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 25°C. Traders will monitor updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus KNMI guidance through June 16 for final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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