Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in Houston confirm a daily maximum temperature of 88–89°F on June 17, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 99.8% implied probability on that bin. Forecasts from NWS and supporting models had projected upper-80s highs under typical early-summer conditions, with southeasterly flow, scattered cloud cover, and moderate humidity limiting further warming; observed values fell squarely within this consensus range. Historical June normals near 92°F provide context, yet localized moderation on this date produced the recorded peak. Only an unlikely post-hoc data revision or use of a non-standard station could alter resolution, underscoring how real-time station observations anchor trader consensus in this near-certain outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on June 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 17?
88-89°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$45,370 Обс.
$45,370 Обс.
Jun 17, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$45,370 Обс.
$45,370 Обс.
Jun 17, 2026
77°F or below
$192 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$5,285 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$4,456 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,238 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$5,769 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$5,333 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$6,407 Обс.
100%
90-91°F
$4,450 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$6,003 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$2,046 Обс.
<1%
96°F or higher
$1,325 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in Houston confirm a daily maximum temperature of 88–89°F on June 17, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 99.8% implied probability on that bin. Forecasts from NWS and supporting models had projected upper-80s highs under typical early-summer conditions, with southeasterly flow, scattered cloud cover, and moderate humidity limiting further warming; observed values fell squarely within this consensus range. Historical June normals near 92°F provide context, yet localized moderation on this date produced the recorded peak. Only an unlikely post-hoc data revision or use of a non-standard station could alter resolution, underscoring how real-time station observations anchor trader consensus in this near-certain outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 15, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Обсяг
$45,370Дата завершення
Jun 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 9:08 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in Houston confirm a daily maximum temperature of 88–89°F on June 17, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 99.8% implied probability on that bin. Forecasts from NWS and supporting models had projected upper-80s highs under typical early-summer conditions, with southeasterly flow, scattered cloud cover, and moderate humidity limiting further warming; observed values fell squarely within this consensus range. Historical June normals near 92°F provide context, yet localized moderation on this date produced the recorded peak. Only an unlikely post-hoc data revision or use of a non-standard station could alter resolution, underscoring how real-time station observations anchor trader consensus in this near-certain outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$45,370Дата завершення
Jun 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 9:08 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in Houston confirm a daily maximum temperature of 88–89°F on June 17, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 99.8% implied probability on that bin. Forecasts from NWS and supporting models had projected upper-80s highs under typical early-summer conditions, with southeasterly flow, scattered cloud cover, and moderate humidity limiting further warming; observed values fell squarely within this consensus range. Historical June normals near 92°F provide context, yet localized moderation on this date produced the recorded peak. Only an unlikely post-hoc data revision or use of a non-standard station could alter resolution, underscoring how real-time station observations anchor trader consensus in this near-certain outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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