Traders price the June 20 highest temperature in Istanbul near 24–26 °C because short-range forecast guidance and climatological normals align on modest daytime maxima. June averages place the daily high around 25–27 °C, with recent model runs showing limited warming from Black Sea marine air and prevailing northeasterly flow that suppresses peak readings. Small differences among outcomes hinge on afternoon cloud cover, wind direction shifts that either enhance or reduce sea-breeze cooling, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Official agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles currently favor the middle of that range, while the spread in market probabilities reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat-island effects two days before the observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 20?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 20?
24°C 36%
25°C 20%
26°C 17%
22°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 20, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
9%
24°C
36%
25°C
20%
26°C
17%
27°C
9%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 36%
25°C 20%
26°C 17%
22°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 20, 2026
20°C or below
$72 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$0 Обс.
3%
22°C
$0 Обс.
11%
23°C
$0 Обс.
9%
24°C
$34 Обс.
36%
25°C
$0 Обс.
20%
26°C
$0 Обс.
17%
27°C
$0 Обс.
9%
28°C
$6 Обс.
7%
29°C
$5 Обс.
3%
30°C or higher
$77 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price the June 20 highest temperature in Istanbul near 24–26 °C because short-range forecast guidance and climatological normals align on modest daytime maxima. June averages place the daily high around 25–27 °C, with recent model runs showing limited warming from Black Sea marine air and prevailing northeasterly flow that suppresses peak readings. Small differences among outcomes hinge on afternoon cloud cover, wind direction shifts that either enhance or reduce sea-breeze cooling, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Official agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles currently favor the middle of that range, while the spread in market probabilities reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat-island effects two days before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 18, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Обсяг
$194Дата завершення
Jun 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 18, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price the June 20 highest temperature in Istanbul near 24–26 °C because short-range forecast guidance and climatological normals align on modest daytime maxima. June averages place the daily high around 25–27 °C, with recent model runs showing limited warming from Black Sea marine air and prevailing northeasterly flow that suppresses peak readings. Small differences among outcomes hinge on afternoon cloud cover, wind direction shifts that either enhance or reduce sea-breeze cooling, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Official agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles currently favor the middle of that range, while the spread in market probabilities reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat-island effects two days before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$194Дата завершення
Jun 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 18, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price the June 20 highest temperature in Istanbul near 24–26 °C because short-range forecast guidance and climatological normals align on modest daytime maxima. June averages place the daily high around 25–27 °C, with recent model runs showing limited warming from Black Sea marine air and prevailing northeasterly flow that suppresses peak readings. Small differences among outcomes hinge on afternoon cloud cover, wind direction shifts that either enhance or reduce sea-breeze cooling, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Official agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles currently favor the middle of that range, while the spread in market probabilities reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local urban heat-island effects two days before the observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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