Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS places Beijing’s June 18 maximum near 31–32 °C, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise position of the western Pacific subtropical high. Ensemble members showing slightly stronger subsidence and clearer skies support the 32 °C outcome, while greater low-level moisture or scattered afternoon convection favor 30–31 °C. Historical June climatology (average high ~31 °C) provides context, but day-to-day variability from short-wave troughs and urban heat-island effects keeps probabilities tightly clustered. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and any overnight sounding adjustments will be the next key inputs for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on June 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 18?
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 21%
33°C 9.4%
НОВЕ
$41,194 Обс.
НОВЕ
$41,194 Обс.
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
21%
31°C
31%
32°C
33%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 21%
33°C 9.4%
НОВЕ
$41,194 Обс.
НОВЕ
$41,194 Обс.
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
$4,450 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$1,782 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$2,760 Обс.
1%
29°C
$2,688 Обс.
9%
30°C
$2,868 Обс.
21%
31°C
$2,811 Обс.
31%
32°C
$8,404 Обс.
33%
33°C
$5,902 Обс.
9%
34°C
$3,835 Обс.
2%
35°C
$2,452 Обс.
1%
36°C or higher
$3,243 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS places Beijing’s June 18 maximum near 31–32 °C, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise position of the western Pacific subtropical high. Ensemble members showing slightly stronger subsidence and clearer skies support the 32 °C outcome, while greater low-level moisture or scattered afternoon convection favor 30–31 °C. Historical June climatology (average high ~31 °C) provides context, but day-to-day variability from short-wave troughs and urban heat-island effects keeps probabilities tightly clustered. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and any overnight sounding adjustments will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$41,194Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS places Beijing’s June 18 maximum near 31–32 °C, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise position of the western Pacific subtropical high. Ensemble members showing slightly stronger subsidence and clearer skies support the 32 °C outcome, while greater low-level moisture or scattered afternoon convection favor 30–31 °C. Historical June climatology (average high ~31 °C) provides context, but day-to-day variability from short-wave troughs and urban heat-island effects keeps probabilities tightly clustered. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and any overnight sounding adjustments will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$41,194Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS places Beijing’s June 18 maximum near 31–32 °C, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise position of the western Pacific subtropical high. Ensemble members showing slightly stronger subsidence and clearer skies support the 32 °C outcome, while greater low-level moisture or scattered afternoon convection favor 30–31 °C. Historical June climatology (average high ~31 °C) provides context, but day-to-day variability from short-wave troughs and urban heat-island effects keeps probabilities tightly clustered. Updated 12–18 UTC model runs and any overnight sounding adjustments will be the next key inputs for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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