Recent monsoon (Changma) activity and associated cloud cover over the Korean Peninsula are the main drivers keeping Seoul's July 9 overnight low centered near the historical 23–24 °C average. Persistent humidity and periodic rain suppress nighttime radiative cooling by trapping long-wave radiation, while any breaks in cloud allowing clearer skies could permit greater heat loss and push the minimum toward 21–22 °C. Short-range model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows limited day-to-day variability this week, with steering winds and frontal position as the key variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Trader prices clustered tightly around 22–25 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on July 9?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 9?
23°C 41%
24°C 27%
22°C 20%
21°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 9, 2026
18°C or below
5%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
17%
23°C
41%
24°C
20%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
5%
23°C 41%
24°C 27%
22°C 20%
21°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 9, 2026
18°C or below
$57 Обс.
5%
19°C
$46 Обс.
4%
20°C
$7 Обс.
3%
21°C
$0 Обс.
7%
22°C
$5 Обс.
17%
23°C
$13 Обс.
41%
24°C
$5 Обс.
20%
25°C
$0 Обс.
4%
26°C
$45 Обс.
4%
27°C
$57 Обс.
5%
28°C or higher
$27 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon (Changma) activity and associated cloud cover over the Korean Peninsula are the main drivers keeping Seoul's July 9 overnight low centered near the historical 23–24 °C average. Persistent humidity and periodic rain suppress nighttime radiative cooling by trapping long-wave radiation, while any breaks in cloud allowing clearer skies could permit greater heat loss and push the minimum toward 21–22 °C. Short-range model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows limited day-to-day variability this week, with steering winds and frontal position as the key variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Trader prices clustered tightly around 22–25 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$261Дата завершення
Jul 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon (Changma) activity and associated cloud cover over the Korean Peninsula are the main drivers keeping Seoul's July 9 overnight low centered near the historical 23–24 °C average. Persistent humidity and periodic rain suppress nighttime radiative cooling by trapping long-wave radiation, while any breaks in cloud allowing clearer skies could permit greater heat loss and push the minimum toward 21–22 °C. Short-range model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows limited day-to-day variability this week, with steering winds and frontal position as the key variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Trader prices clustered tightly around 22–25 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$261Дата завершення
Jul 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon (Changma) activity and associated cloud cover over the Korean Peninsula are the main drivers keeping Seoul's July 9 overnight low centered near the historical 23–24 °C average. Persistent humidity and periodic rain suppress nighttime radiative cooling by trapping long-wave radiation, while any breaks in cloud allowing clearer skies could permit greater heat loss and push the minimum toward 21–22 °C. Short-range model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows limited day-to-day variability this week, with steering winds and frontal position as the key variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Trader prices clustered tightly around 22–25 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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