Recent official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions show Shanghai's overnight minimum stabilizing near 26°C on August 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-90%, light southeast winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Multiple model runs and station data align on this threshold, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 24-27°C amid the East Asian monsoon influence. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this strong data convergence, though minor deviations remain possible from localized station measurement differences, sudden wind shifts, or clearer-sky intervals that enhance overnight cooling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 22?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$37,313 Обс.
$37,313 Обс.
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$37,313 Обс.
$37,313 Обс.
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
$1,757 Обс.
No
23°C
$2,366 Обс.
No
24°C
$2,789 Обс.
No
25°C
$4,113 Обс.
No
26°C
$8,313 Обс.
Yes
27°C
$9,936 Обс.
No
28°C
$5,527 Обс.
No
29°C
$374 Обс.
No
30°C
$816 Обс.
No
31°C
$531 Обс.
No
32°C or higher
$792 Обс.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions show Shanghai's overnight minimum stabilizing near 26°C on August 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-90%, light southeast winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Multiple model runs and station data align on this threshold, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 24-27°C amid the East Asian monsoon influence. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this strong data convergence, though minor deviations remain possible from localized station measurement differences, sudden wind shifts, or clearer-sky intervals that enhance overnight cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,313Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions show Shanghai's overnight minimum stabilizing near 26°C on August 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-90%, light southeast winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Multiple model runs and station data align on this threshold, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 24-27°C amid the East Asian monsoon influence. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this strong data convergence, though minor deviations remain possible from localized station measurement differences, sudden wind shifts, or clearer-sky intervals that enhance overnight cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$37,313Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent official forecasts and real-time observations from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions show Shanghai's overnight minimum stabilizing near 26°C on August 22, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 80-90%, light southeast winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Multiple model runs and station data align on this threshold, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows range 24-27°C amid the East Asian monsoon influence. The 100% market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this strong data convergence, though minor deviations remain possible from localized station measurement differences, sudden wind shifts, or clearer-sky intervals that enhance overnight cooling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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