Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 22 converge on a daily maximum of 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast to east winds, and moderate humidity near 60%, with model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance showing minimal day-to-day shifts. The near-even market split between 28°C and 29°C reflects the typical uncertainty range in short-range maximum temperature predictions, where small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or local urban heat effects can shift the peak by 1°C. Stable late-summer synoptic patterns without strong frontal passages or typhoon influences keep extremes unlikely, while historical September baselines around 27–29°C provide context for the tight distribution. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 22?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 22?
29°C 42%
28°C 36%
27°C 11%
30°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
11%
28°C
42%
29°C
42%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
28°C 36%
27°C 11%
30°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
24°C or below
$45 Обс.
1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
2%
26°C
$125 Обс.
2%
27°C
$695 Обс.
11%
28°C
$619 Обс.
42%
29°C
$1,571 Обс.
42%
30°C
$398 Обс.
4%
31°C
$0 Обс.
2%
32°C
$0 Обс.
2%
33°C
$291 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$291 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 22 converge on a daily maximum of 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast to east winds, and moderate humidity near 60%, with model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance showing minimal day-to-day shifts. The near-even market split between 28°C and 29°C reflects the typical uncertainty range in short-range maximum temperature predictions, where small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or local urban heat effects can shift the peak by 1°C. Stable late-summer synoptic patterns without strong frontal passages or typhoon influences keep extremes unlikely, while historical September baselines around 27–29°C provide context for the tight distribution. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,036Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 22 converge on a daily maximum of 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast to east winds, and moderate humidity near 60%, with model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance showing minimal day-to-day shifts. The near-even market split between 28°C and 29°C reflects the typical uncertainty range in short-range maximum temperature predictions, where small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or local urban heat effects can shift the peak by 1°C. Stable late-summer synoptic patterns without strong frontal passages or typhoon influences keep extremes unlikely, while historical September baselines around 27–29°C provide context for the tight distribution. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,036Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 22 converge on a daily maximum of 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast to east winds, and moderate humidity near 60%, with model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international guidance showing minimal day-to-day shifts. The near-even market split between 28°C and 29°C reflects the typical uncertainty range in short-range maximum temperature predictions, where small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or local urban heat effects can shift the peak by 1°C. Stable late-summer synoptic patterns without strong frontal passages or typhoon influences keep extremes unlikely, while historical September baselines around 27–29°C provide context for the tight distribution. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання