**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 32–33°C on September 20 under persistent high-pressure subsidence.** An anticyclone aloft is maintaining generally fine, dry conditions with light easterly winds, promoting strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover early in the day before isolated showers develop later. Model consensus and historical September baselines (typical maxima near 30–31°C) support peak readings in this narrow range, with limited potential for 34°C if solar insolation intensifies further or for lower values if showers arrive earlier. Trader positioning heavily favors 33°C at 59% implied probability, reflecting the latest agency guidance and low near-term uncertainty ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
33°C 59%
32°C 26%
34°C 15%
31°C 4%
$28,338 Обс.
$28,338 Обс.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
26%
33°C
59%
34°C
15%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
32°C 26%
34°C 15%
31°C 4%
$28,338 Обс.
$28,338 Обс.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
26%
33°C
59%
34°C
15%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 32–33°C on September 20 under persistent high-pressure subsidence.** An anticyclone aloft is maintaining generally fine, dry conditions with light easterly winds, promoting strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover early in the day before isolated showers develop later. Model consensus and historical September baselines (typical maxima near 30–31°C) support peak readings in this narrow range, with limited potential for 34°C if solar insolation intensifies further or for lower values if showers arrive earlier. Trader positioning heavily favors 33°C at 59% implied probability, reflecting the latest agency guidance and low near-term uncertainty ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання