Latest meteorological model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, positions Milan’s September 19 high near 26°C under building high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit cloud cover and enhance daytime heating. Recent observations show stabilizing conditions after earlier showers, with dew points and humidity supporting efficient warming to the mid-20s Celsius. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C because ensemble spreads cluster tightly around this value, while 25°C captures residual uncertainty from minor model discrepancies on timing of peak insolation. Historical September climatology for the Po Valley reinforces this range as typical for post-frontal clearing. Updated short-range guidance and satellite trends through the next 24 hours will determine whether any late adjustments shift probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on September 19?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 19?
26°C 68%
25°C 22%
27°C 9%
24°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
22%
26°C
68%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
26°C 68%
25°C 22%
27°C 9%
24°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 19, 2026
19°C or below
$125 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$135 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$135 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$595 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$187 Обс.
2%
24°C
$456 Обс.
3%
25°C
$2,099 Обс.
22%
26°C
$2,325 Обс.
68%
27°C
$421 Обс.
9%
28°C
$235 Обс.
2%
29°C or higher
$127 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, positions Milan’s September 19 high near 26°C under building high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit cloud cover and enhance daytime heating. Recent observations show stabilizing conditions after earlier showers, with dew points and humidity supporting efficient warming to the mid-20s Celsius. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C because ensemble spreads cluster tightly around this value, while 25°C captures residual uncertainty from minor model discrepancies on timing of peak insolation. Historical September climatology for the Po Valley reinforces this range as typical for post-frontal clearing. Updated short-range guidance and satellite trends through the next 24 hours will determine whether any late adjustments shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,841Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, positions Milan’s September 19 high near 26°C under building high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit cloud cover and enhance daytime heating. Recent observations show stabilizing conditions after earlier showers, with dew points and humidity supporting efficient warming to the mid-20s Celsius. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C because ensemble spreads cluster tightly around this value, while 25°C captures residual uncertainty from minor model discrepancies on timing of peak insolation. Historical September climatology for the Po Valley reinforces this range as typical for post-frontal clearing. Updated short-range guidance and satellite trends through the next 24 hours will determine whether any late adjustments shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,841Дата завершення
Sep 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, positions Milan’s September 19 high near 26°C under building high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit cloud cover and enhance daytime heating. Recent observations show stabilizing conditions after earlier showers, with dew points and humidity supporting efficient warming to the mid-20s Celsius. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C because ensemble spreads cluster tightly around this value, while 25°C captures residual uncertainty from minor model discrepancies on timing of peak insolation. Historical September climatology for the Po Valley reinforces this range as typical for post-frontal clearing. Updated short-range guidance and satellite trends through the next 24 hours will determine whether any late adjustments shift probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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