Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions over Shenzhen on September 18, with highs centered on 32–33°C amid light easterly winds and moderate humidity under a stable subtropical ridge. This consensus supports the market’s leading 33°C and 32°C outcomes by reflecting typical early-autumn patterns without significant frontal systems or monsoon surges that could suppress or elevate temperatures. Model runs show limited spread, though small revisions in cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance and historical September baselines near 31–32°C when adjusting positions ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 18?
33°C 40%
32°C 30%
34°C 19%
35°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
30%
33°C
40%
34°C
19%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 40%
32°C 30%
34°C 19%
35°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
$199 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$232 Обс.
1%
30°C
$304 Обс.
2%
31°C
$492 Обс.
7%
32°C
$578 Обс.
30%
33°C
$425 Обс.
40%
34°C
$1,433 Обс.
19%
35°C
$469 Обс.
8%
36°C
$402 Обс.
2%
37°C
$360 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$127 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions over Shenzhen on September 18, with highs centered on 32–33°C amid light easterly winds and moderate humidity under a stable subtropical ridge. This consensus supports the market’s leading 33°C and 32°C outcomes by reflecting typical early-autumn patterns without significant frontal systems or monsoon surges that could suppress or elevate temperatures. Model runs show limited spread, though small revisions in cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance and historical September baselines near 31–32°C when adjusting positions ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,021Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions over Shenzhen on September 18, with highs centered on 32–33°C amid light easterly winds and moderate humidity under a stable subtropical ridge. This consensus supports the market’s leading 33°C and 32°C outcomes by reflecting typical early-autumn patterns without significant frontal systems or monsoon surges that could suppress or elevate temperatures. Model runs show limited spread, though small revisions in cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance and historical September baselines near 31–32°C when adjusting positions ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,021Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions over Shenzhen on September 18, with highs centered on 32–33°C amid light easterly winds and moderate humidity under a stable subtropical ridge. This consensus supports the market’s leading 33°C and 32°C outcomes by reflecting typical early-autumn patterns without significant frontal systems or monsoon surges that could suppress or elevate temperatures. Model runs show limited spread, though small revisions in cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest official guidance and historical September baselines near 31–32°C when adjusting positions ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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