Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF ensembles, and Inmet monitoring points to a maximum temperature in São Paulo on September 18 in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, with easterly winds and lingering high moisture from the city's record early-September rainfall—already exceeding historical monthly totals by early mid-month—favoring cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Historical September averages hover near 23–25 °C, but the unusually wet pattern this year has suppressed recent highs, creating tight clustering in trader probabilities around 22–24 °C. Short-range forecast uncertainty stems from variable cloud timing and minor model spreads on boundary-layer mixing, with updated runs expected daily through resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 18?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 18?
22°C 39%
24°C 26%
23°C 22%
21°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
20%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C or higher
11%
22°C 39%
24°C 26%
23°C 22%
21°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$16 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$16 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$0 Обс.
2%
18°C
$0 Обс.
3%
19°C
$0 Обс.
4%
20°C
$0 Обс.
10%
21°C
$3 Обс.
20%
22°C
$6 Обс.
27%
23°C
$6 Обс.
27%
24°C
$0 Обс.
26%
25°C or higher
$0 Обс.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF ensembles, and Inmet monitoring points to a maximum temperature in São Paulo on September 18 in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, with easterly winds and lingering high moisture from the city's record early-September rainfall—already exceeding historical monthly totals by early mid-month—favoring cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Historical September averages hover near 23–25 °C, but the unusually wet pattern this year has suppressed recent highs, creating tight clustering in trader probabilities around 22–24 °C. Short-range forecast uncertainty stems from variable cloud timing and minor model spreads on boundary-layer mixing, with updated runs expected daily through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$47Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF ensembles, and Inmet monitoring points to a maximum temperature in São Paulo on September 18 in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, with easterly winds and lingering high moisture from the city's record early-September rainfall—already exceeding historical monthly totals by early mid-month—favoring cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Historical September averages hover near 23–25 °C, but the unusually wet pattern this year has suppressed recent highs, creating tight clustering in trader probabilities around 22–24 °C. Short-range forecast uncertainty stems from variable cloud timing and minor model spreads on boundary-layer mixing, with updated runs expected daily through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$47Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from sources like the Met Office, ECMWF ensembles, and Inmet monitoring points to a maximum temperature in São Paulo on September 18 in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, with easterly winds and lingering high moisture from the city's record early-September rainfall—already exceeding historical monthly totals by early mid-month—favoring cloud cover that caps daytime heating. Historical September averages hover near 23–25 °C, but the unusually wet pattern this year has suppressed recent highs, creating tight clustering in trader probabilities around 22–24 °C. Short-range forecast uncertainty stems from variable cloud timing and minor model spreads on boundary-layer mixing, with updated runs expected daily through resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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